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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 27, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Raptors34%98101
11Rockets66%104117
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.6
31.9
29.0
12
53%
5
1
0
1
1
2
2
3
2-3
67%
5-10
4-9
50%
50%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.1
30.8
32.9
21
82%
4
2
1
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
5-8
5-12
63%
47%
3-4
75%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.7
27.4
31.5
7
34%
8
5
1
1
0
3
1
7
1-1
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
45%
0-3
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.3
26.9
37.3
12
53%
3
1
2
1
0
4
0
3
2-3
67%
5-10
7-14
50%
46%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
10.3
17.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 21.8
35.7
14.5
19
56%
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
8-13
1-3
62%
45%
1-4
25%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.2
24.5
28.8
12
67%
0
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
4-8
50%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
20.7
13.6
12
87%
4
0
1
0
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
52%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.0
14.0
4.3
2
20%
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
41%
0-2
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.6
11.6
16.6
4
37%
5
3
1
0
0
0
3
2
0-1
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
56%
0-2
0%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.9
5.3
13.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.0
1.1
2.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.1
2.5
0
0-1
44%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.4
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.3
43.6
35.7
24
59%
6
12
3
1
1
4
1
5
2-3
67%
5-11
5-9
45%
54%
4-8
50%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.1
41.5
34.4
18
65%
7
5
1
1
0
4
2
5
2-2
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
52%
2-4
50%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
38.3
30.8
16
81%
4
10
3
2
0
3
0
4
1-2
50%
6-7
4-7
86%
47%
1-2
50%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.4
36.1
31.1
13
66%
18
2
2
1
0
2
3
15
1-2
50%
6-9
4-7
67%
51%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.7
31.2
25.6
22
64%
5
1
1
1
0
0
2
3
6-7
86%
5-10
4-9
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
15.8
19.5
11
85%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
51%
2-3
67%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.9
11.9
13.7
5
37%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
3-4
75%
1-5
2-3
20%
53%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.6
9.8
13.4
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
41%
1-2
50%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.7
9.8
17.7
3
38%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 20.9
1.1
9.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.2
1.1
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Scott Machado
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.5
3.0
0
0-1
44%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.1
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.6
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.