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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 27, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Timberwolves56%10197
27Kings44%9989
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.2
43.9
31.7
23
59%
24
2
2
1
1
2
3
21
5-6
83%
6-9
6-12
67%
48%
2-8
25%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.8
41.3
34.0
14
51%
6
5
0
1
3
4
1
5
4-4
100%
5-11
3-7
45%
51%
0-1
0%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.9
36.0
28.9
16
51%
8
4
0
1
1
4
3
5
4-6
67%
6-13
6-10
46%
54%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.8
30.1
28.8
18
65%
2
5
1
1
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
8-10
3-6
80%
48%
0-3
0%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.5
21.0
18.2
10
83%
0
1
1
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
2-3
67%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 23.9
27.0
21.7
8
50%
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
2-5
40%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.4
17.9
21.9
2
20%
4
6
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
16.2
18.9
6
43%
6
0
2
1
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
51%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 32.6
6.7
15.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.5
10.1
0
1-3
46%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.2
6.1
0
1-1
50%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.0
5.6
0
1-1
45%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.5
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.3
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.2
36.0
31.5
20
71%
7
6
2
1
2
2
0
7
0-0
-
7-11
5-11
64%
48%
2-3
67%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.0
29.9
27.8
5
50%
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
1-2
50%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.3
27.9
28.6
20
44%
5
2
2
1
0
2
4
1
2-2
100%
9-22
6-14
41%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.4
27.1
32.8
7
39%
5
0
1
1
3
2
0
5
1-2
50%
3-8
5-9
38%
52%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 27.9
26.0
26.5
7
42%
3
4
0
1
0
0
2
1
2-3
67%
1-3
3-5
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.5
26.8
17.0
2
17%
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-2
0%
1-5
1-3
20%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.5
25.5
21.9
12
46%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
2-7
29%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.8
21.1
9.4
12
73%
3
3
2
0
0
4
0
3
4-5
80%
4-5
1-2
80%
48%
0-1
0%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.7
13.8
14.2
2
33%
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
5.9
16.6
2
100%
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.8
8.8
0
1-2
45%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.2
3.8
0
0-1
42%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.9
2.5
0
0-0
46%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.