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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 28, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs70%103110
26Magic30%9589
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.2
32.3
24.4
19
55%
4
2
3
0
0
3
0
4
2-3
67%
7-12
3-6
58%
48%
1-4
25%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.4
31.6
28.6
9
56%
5
1
0
1
2
3
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
3-6
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.5
29.8
30.6
14
54%
1
8
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
6-12
7-13
50%
51%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.6
27.2
28.6
15
68%
4
0
2
1
5
1
0
4
0-0
-
6-10
6-12
60%
50%
1-1
100%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.6
23.6
15.8
11
62%
6
1
1
1
0
2
3
3
1-2
50%
5-8
3-5
63%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.3
23.5
24.8
20
101%
4
5
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
0-0
3-5
-
52%
6-9
67%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.6
21.8
23.5
3
52%
7
5
1
1
1
0
3
4
1-2
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.9
16.5
20.8
9
58%
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
3
3-4
75%
3-6
3-6
50%
59%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.4
15.7
9.6
4
33%
1
1
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
43%
0-3
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.6
6.8
10.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.3
6.8
6.2
4
67%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
43%
0-1
0%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.7
4.3
4.7
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.3
11.5
0
1-3
47%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.4
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.1
29.9
33.9
16
50%
5
2
2
1
0
4
2
3
0-0
-
8-12
5-9
67%
49%
0-4
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.8
28.9
31.3
14
50%
5
3
2
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
7-12
3-7
58%
46%
0-2
0%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.9
27.6
32.2
12
38%
5
0
0
1
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
6-16
6-14
38%
44%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.6
21.4
14.9
4
50%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.1
15.7
22.9
2
25%
5
1
1
1
1
2
3
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-8
25%
47%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.4
22.2
28.3
7
39%
1
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
1-4
25%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.8
22.1
18.5
11
40%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
5-10
2-4
50%
43%
0-3
0%
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.4
19.0
4.8
7
74%
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
5
2-4
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.7
13.1
19.3
0
0%
3
2
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.0
13.0
13.9
6
60%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.7
12.3
13.9
4
100%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.7
8.5
2.6
6
44%
5
2
0
0
0
0
4
1
2-2
100%
2-6
0-1
33%
44%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.4
6.2
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
38%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.7
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.