Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Spurs	71%	103	110	115.8	95	92.2
	26	Magic	29%	95	89	95.7	93	95.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gary Neal G · 6'4" 210 · 28	32.3	19	56%	4	2	3	0	3	1	0	4	2-3	67%	7-12	58%	1-4	25%
Danny Green F · 6'6" 215 · 25	31.6	9	56%	5	1	0	2	3	0	0	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-6	50%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 31	29.8	14	58%	1	8	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 37	27.2	15	68%	4	0	2	5	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	6-10	60%	1-1	100%
DeJuan Blair C · 6'7" 270 · 24	23.6	11	61%	6	1	1	0	2	1	3	3	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	0-0	-

Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 35	23.5	20	100%	4	5	1	0	1	3	1	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	6-9	67%
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31	21.8	3	50%	7	5	1	1	0	1	3	4	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Tiago Splitter C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28	16.5	9	56%	4	2	1	1	1	1	1	3	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Nando De Colo G · 6'5" 195 · 25	15.7	4	33%	1	1	2	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33	6.8	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 21	6.8	4	67%	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
James Anderson G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24	4.3	2	50%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kawhi Leonard #2 · F · 6'6" 225 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Stephen Jackson #3 · G-F · 6'8" 220 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	60%	39	26	12	9	16	0	8	31	11-15	73%	33-59	56%	11-25	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

3 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gary Neal G · 6'4" 210 · 28	32.3	19	56%	4	2	3	0	3	1	0	4	2-3	67%	7-12	58%	1-4	25%
Danny Green F · 6'6" 215 · 25	31.6	9	56%	5	1	0	2	3	0	0	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-6	50%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 31	29.8	14	58%	1	8	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 37	27.2	15	68%	4	0	2	5	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	6-10	60%	1-1	100%
DeJuan Blair C · 6'7" 270 · 24	23.6	11	61%	6	1	1	0	2	1	3	3	1-2	50%	5-8	63%	0-0	-

Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 35	23.5	20	100%	4	5	1	0	1	3	1	3	2-2	100%	0-0	-	6-9	67%
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31	21.8	3	50%	7	5	1	1	0	1	3	4	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Tiago Splitter C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28	16.5	9	56%	4	2	1	1	1	1	1	3	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Nando De Colo G · 6'5" 195 · 25	15.7	4	33%	1	1	2	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33	6.8	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 21	6.8	4	67%	1	1	1	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
James Anderson G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24	4.3	2	50%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kawhi Leonard #2 · F · 6'6" 225 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Stephen Jackson #3 · G-F · 6'8" 220 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	60%	39	26	12	9	16	0	8	31	11-15	73%	33-59	56%	11-25	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

26 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 27	29.9	16	50%	5	2	2	0	4	1	2	3	0-0	-	8-12	67%	0-4	0%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 31	28.9	14	50%	5	3	2	0	2	3	2	3	0-0	-	7-12	58%	0-2	0%
Glen Davis F · 6'9" 289 · 27	27.6	12	38%	5	0	0	1	0	1	2	3	0-0	-	6-16	38%	0-0	-
Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 20	21.4	4	50%	4	0	1	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 22	15.7	2	25%	5	1	1	1	2	0	3	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-

JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28	22.2	7	39%	1	4	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-4	25%
E'Twaun Moore F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24	22.1	11	39%	3	1	0	0	2	2	1	2	1-2	50%	5-10	50%	0-3	0%
DeQuan Jones F · 6'8" 221 · 22	19.0	7	70%	6	0	1	1	0	1	1	5	2-4	50%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 26	13.1	0	0%	3	2	1	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 23	13.0	6	60%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Gustavo Ayon · 6'10" 250 · 28	12.3	4	100%	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Kyle O'Quinn C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23	8.5	6	43%	5	2	0	0	0	0	4	1	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 24	6.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Hedo Turkoglu #15 · F · 6'10" 220 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Al Harrington #3 · F · 6'9" 245 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	43%	46	16	8	3	16	0	18	28	5-8	63%	39-80	49%	2-15	13%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	ORL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.21 60.4%

ORL

0.86 43.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

19

25

76%

ORL

19

30

63%

Midrange

SAS

14

34

41%

ORL

20

50

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

11

16.5

25

44%

66%

ORL

2

3.0

15

13%

20%

Free Throws

SAS

11

15

73%

ORL

5

8

63%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili	20	100%	10.0 / 10
G. Neal	19	56%	9.5 / 17
T. Duncan	15	68%	7.5 / 11
T. Parker	14	58%	7.0 / 12
D. Blair	11	61%	5.5 / 9
D. Green	9	56%	4.5 / 8
T. Splitter	9	56%	4.5 / 8
N. De Colo	4	33%	2.0 / 6
C. Joseph	4	67%	2.0 / 3
B. Diaw	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Anderson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Bonner	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Afflalo	16	50%	8.0 / 16
J. Nelson	14	50%	7.0 / 14
G. Davis	12	38%	6.0 / 16
E. Moore	11	39%	5.5 / 14
J. Redick	7	39%	3.5 / 9
D. Jones	7	70%	3.5 / 5
A. Nicholson	6	60%	3.0 / 5
K. O'Quinn	6	43%	3.0 / 7
M. Harkless	4	50%	2.0 / 4
G. Ayon	4	100%	2.0 / 2
N. Vučević	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. McRoberts	0	-	0.0 / 1
I. Smith	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 107.8 26 102.0	SAS 115.8 +20.1 ORL 95.7
Pace	5 94.7 16 91.9	SAS 92.2 ORL 95.9 +3.6
Avg. Poss. Time	19 15.4 13 15.7	SAS 15.6 ORL 15.0 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 53.1% 20 48.5%	SAS 58.9% +14.7% ORL 44.2%
TO %	9 14.8% 13 15.2%	SAS 15.0% ORL 14.7% −0.3%
ORB %	29 20.7% 22 25.4%	SAS 22.2% ORL 36.7% +14.5%
FTrt	21 25.8 30 19.7	SAS 17.9 +9.5 ORL 8.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 64.1% 12 60.5%	SAS 59.1% +20.1% ORL 39.0%
STL %	8 8.9% 30 7.0%	SAS 12.6% +4.0% ORL 8.6%
BLK %	13 8.1% 24 7.0%	SAS 11.3% +6.2% ORL 5.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 55.3% 22 50.2%	SAS 60.4% +17.2% ORL 43.2%
Rim FG%	5 60.8% 12 58.5%	SAS 76.0% +12.7% ORL 63.3%
Mid FG%	2 42.4% 13 39.6%	SAS 41.2% +1.2% ORL 40.0%
3P %	4 37.6% 29 32.9%	SAS 44.0% +30.7% ORL 13.3%
FT %	3 79.1% 15 75.5%	SAS 73.3% +10.8% ORL 62.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 37.7% 19 35.4%	SAS 29.8% ORL 31.6% +1.8%
Mid Att. %	7 35.9% 20 42.3%	SAS 40.5% −12.2% ORL 52.6%
3P Att. %	9 26.4% 20 22.3%	SAS 29.8% +14.0% ORL 15.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	ORL
Possessions	95	93
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	110	89
Rebounds	39	46
Assists	26	16
Steals	12	8
Blocks	9	3
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (4)	18 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (2)	28 (1)
Field Goals	44-84	41-95
At-the-Rim FG	19-25	19-30
Midrange FG	14-34	20-50
2-Point FG	33-59	39-80
3-Point FG	11-25	2-15
Free Throws	11-15	5-8
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg