for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 28, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Raptors20%9282
6Grizzlies80%103103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.3
31.7
33.0
16
68%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
3-7
5-12
43%
44%
2-3
67%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
27.8
16.4
10
87%
6
0
0
0
1
4
3
3
4-4
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
0-0
-
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.6
27.7
29.7
2
25%
2
2
0
1
3
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-9
25%
47%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.7
27.2
29.6
12
46%
4
4
0
1
0
3
0
4
5-7
71%
2-6
3-6
33%
43%
1-4
25%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.9
25.5
10.8
11
36%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
5-15
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 21.8
30.3
22.7
8
29%
2
2
3
1
0
2
1
1
0-2
0%
4-7
2-5
57%
43%
0-6
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.0
18.3
2.1
2
100%
3
1
1
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
49%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.2
17.8
27.1
12
82%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
46%
1-2
50%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.6
17.4
14.9
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
54%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.0
8.5
8.6
6
55%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
38%
1-2
50%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.1
4.3
2.5
1
27%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
3.3
14.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.1
31.9
1
5-11
45%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.1
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.8
33.4
36.0
17
47%
5
3
0
1
1
1
2
3
5-7
71%
6-14
5-9
43%
54%
0-1
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.4
31.0
34.9
17
72%
13
6
1
1
0
2
4
9
3-4
75%
7-10
6-12
70%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.1
30.6
18.7
16
93%
1
5
2
1
2
4
0
1
4-6
67%
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
4-5
80%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.9
28.4
26.6
9
67%
4
1
3
2
1
2
0
4
3-4
75%
3-4
4-7
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.3
27.1
39.1
14
50%
6
2
2
1
1
0
1
5
1-2
50%
2-8
7-14
25%
51%
3-5
60%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25.3
24.3
9.5
18
71%
12
2
1
0
1
2
4
8
3-4
75%
6-10
2-3
60%
48%
1-1
100%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.7
24.1
22.1
4
31%
2
4
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-1
0%
2-4
1-3
50%
53%
0-2
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
17.4
24.7
2
20%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.0
13.4
11.4
4
33%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.5
7.0
1.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
56%
0-0
-
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.7
3.3
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.7
13.7
0
3-5
50%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.