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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 29, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs31%98100
1Heat69%105105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.6
38.1
22.9
12
76%
6
0
0
1
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
4-5
2-3
80%
51%
1-2
50%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.4
33.5
11.9
15
70%
6
5
1
0
0
5
3
3
5-6
83%
2-4
1-2
50%
42%
2-4
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.7
29.7
9.5
10
71%
10
1
0
0
0
0
0
10
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
46%
2-4
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.9
29.6
19.4
18
61%
9
2
0
0
1
2
3
6
4-6
67%
7-12
3-5
58%
56%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.3
24.0
8.1
7
32%
1
2
2
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
1-7
14%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.2
32.2
27.3
20
46%
4
7
2
0
0
6
0
4
4-4
100%
5-12
3-7
42%
46%
2-8
25%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.7
19.5
4.9
9
107%
4
3
0
0
1
0
0
4
4-5
80%
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
1-1
100%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.6
18.4
19.0
6
40%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-1
0%
3-7
3-7
43%
50%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.3
14.9
6.9
3
25%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
41%
1-4
25%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.5
30.3
1
6-13
48%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.4
29.7
1
2-4
46%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.6
28.1
1
6-12
48%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.3
24.4
1
2-5
50%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.4
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.9
39.1
38.1
23
62%
9
7
4
1
0
4
3
6
3-6
50%
7-11
8-15
64%
55%
2-5
40%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.7
36.8
35.3
18
60%
12
1
0
1
1
0
3
9
2-2
100%
8-14
6-12
57%
51%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.9
32.4
33.1
19
49%
5
5
1
1
0
1
0
5
5-5
100%
7-17
7-14
41%
51%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.5
27.1
27.6
8
47%
1
4
2
1
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.3
20.9
4.6
3
150%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
1-1
100%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.4
27.0
23.5
20
58%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
5-5
100%
6-12
2-3
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.1
19.7
15.4
8
44%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
42%
0-2
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.5
17.9
18.8
4
50%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.8
16.6
14.3
2
50%
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
2.6
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.7
4.5
0
1-1
49%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.2
1.6
0
0-0
44%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.3
1.5
0
0-0
45%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.8
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.