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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 30, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Jazz26%9494
2Thunder74%102106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.9
39.0
32.2
16
42%
11
1
1
1
2
5
4
7
2-2
100%
7-18
7-14
39%
48%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 29.9
31.8
8.5
13
55%
0
6
1
0
0
3
0
0
4-4
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.8
31.3
28.4
13
51%
6
2
2
1
1
3
3
3
3-4
75%
5-11
5-9
45%
49%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.2
30.0
23.5
12
67%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-4
0%
40%
4-8
50%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.3
21.0
19.4
4
40%
4
0
2
1
3
0
3
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.7
28.3
24.2
13
36%
4
3
1
1
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
5-12
3-6
42%
47%
1-6
17%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.5
15.1
14.1
18
76%
7
0
0
0
0
0
7
0
2-2
100%
8-11
2-4
73%
48%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.4
14.4
2.4
3
30%
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
42%
1-3
33%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.5
13.0
14.2
2
33%
0
8
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.4
9.3
20.3
0
0%
2
0
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.8
6.7
29.1
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.5
25.9
1
2-5
46%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.1
1.8
0
0-0
53%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.2
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.2
40.7
37.5
25
70%
4
3
0
1
4
2
0
4
9-11
82%
8-12
7-12
67%
53%
0-1
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.0
39.1
32.7
23
51%
13
8
7
1
0
8
3
10
8-10
80%
3-13
6-12
23%
48%
3-5
60%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.1
31.7
22.3
12
61%
6
5
1
0
3
1
5
1
0-2
0%
6-9
2-3
67%
52%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.6
26.9
28.9
6
50%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.2
25.1
27.9
12
75%
7
0
0
0
7
2
1
6
0-0
-
6-8
5-8
75%
56%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.8
30.4
26.5
19
67%
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
4-5
80%
6-10
2-5
60%
47%
1-2
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.1
21.7
17.1
6
56%
3
1
1
0
0
2
2
1
2-3
67%
2-4
2-3
50%
59%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.8
14.8
12.5
3
31%
6
0
0
0
0
3
4
2
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
56%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.5
8.9
15.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.2
0.6
6.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.6
6.3
0
1-1
44%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.5
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.3
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.