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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 30, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Bucks40%9885
14Timberwolves60%10295
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.1
36.3
28.6
18
39%
2
1
3
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
7-19
5-11
37%
47%
1-3
33%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.2
35.5
30.5
18
43%
6
4
1
2
1
3
1
5
3-4
75%
3-13
4-9
23%
45%
3-6
50%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.4
19.7
14.9
4
20%
5
2
3
0
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
1-8
2-4
13%
51%
0-1
0%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 21.9
19.1
11.8
10
63%
7
0
0
0
0
0
4
3
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.6
15.9
14.6
2
33%
6
1
0
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.0
32.1
15.8
10
71%
12
1
1
1
10
0
2
10
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
48%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.5
28.6
23.0
8
58%
3
2
0
1
2
2
2
1
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.2
22.6
25.3
7
35%
0
1
2
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
50%
1-5
20%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.1
15.4
15.3
6
43%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
0-2
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.4
14.9
22.2
2
25%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.1
0.0
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
18.8
1
2-5
48%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.9
13.3
1
2-4
47%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.2
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.8
35.9
29.7
16
54%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
5-11
3-7
45%
49%
1-2
50%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.9
35.8
31.7
14
48%
16
1
2
1
3
2
5
11
4-6
67%
5-12
6-12
42%
54%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.4
31.5
18.4
15
69%
1
5
0
0
0
3
1
0
2-2
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
46%
1-1
100%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.2
30.3
35.6
15
34%
14
0
1
1
0
1
4
10
4-7
57%
4-12
6-12
33%
49%
1-7
14%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 32.6
24.1
16.3
8
45%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
45%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.0
32.4
27.8
16
81%
3
5
2
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
4-6
67%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
23.6
17.2
4
22%
2
0
0
1
2
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-9
3-5
22%
51%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.5
15.4
9.5
7
61%
10
0
0
0
1
2
2
8
2-4
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
1-3
33%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.2
11.0
5.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.8
24.9
1
3-5
52%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.5
21.4
1
2-4
46%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.0
3.2
0
0-1
45%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.1
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.5
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.