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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 30, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Pacers58%9697
26Kings42%9492
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.3
37.9
33.4
31
67%
11
2
0
1
2
3
3
8
5-7
71%
13-20
6-13
65%
50%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.6
34.6
34.1
25
79%
6
8
1
1
0
0
0
6
3-4
75%
5-8
4-7
63%
50%
4-6
67%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
32.5
31.6
4
17%
4
9
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-1
0%
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
0-6
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.0
28.7
23.4
8
40%
6
1
0
0
2
1
3
3
2-2
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
48%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.2
25.4
26.9
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
48%
0-3
0%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.5
25.4
18.3
12
55%
5
4
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
46%
2-3
67%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.1
19.3
21.8
0
0%
5
0
0
1
2
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
52%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.1
13.4
12.6
8
51%
0
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
2-5
40%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.8
12.8
16.8
5
43%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.1
10.2
14.4
4
58%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
0-0
-
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.2
1.7
0
0-0
50%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
1.3
0
0-0
52%
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.7
1.0
0
0-0
45%
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.9
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.5
32.6
23.4
15
61%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-3
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
2-6
33%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.3
32.5
27.9
19
44%
16
1
2
1
0
2
5
11
9-10
90%
5-17
6-14
29%
45%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 27.9
30.4
25.6
9
56%
2
1
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
1-2
50%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.0
27.8
28.2
9
68%
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
5
5-6
83%
2-2
2-5
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.4
22.4
29.9
3
44%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
1-1
100%
1-3
4-8
33%
51%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.7
25.1
14.0
7
36%
7
2
0
0
3
3
2
5
3-4
75%
2-8
2-4
25%
48%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
20.1
11.8
4
50%
4
1
2
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.8
17.7
5.4
12
57%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
4-7
1-1
57%
43%
1-3
33%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.5
16.0
21.2
2
33%
2
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.9
15.3
2.5
12
86%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
0-0
100%
47%
2-4
50%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.8
0.0
14.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.2
33.0
1
5-11
48%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.2
3.7
0
0-1
41%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.