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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 30, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Nuggets36%97103
7Lakers64%102122
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.1
36.1
35.3
9
34%
3
5
0
1
0
5
1
2
3-5
60%
3-7
5-10
43%
50%
0-4
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
33.1
33.6
14
55%
2
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
4-6
67%
2-6
4-9
33%
46%
2-4
50%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.3
30.6
31.6
19
66%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
45%
4-7
57%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.0
22.8
31.9
8
58%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
4-6
5-9
67%
53%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.8
9.4
19.0
6
50%
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
0-1
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.7
25.6
21.0
10
63%
3
4
1
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
2-5
71%
45%
0-1
0%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.4
21.3
5.7
6
61%
7
1
1
0
0
1
4
3
2-2
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.7
21.1
26.1
8
54%
1
1
2
1
0
2
1
0
0-1
0%
1-4
3-6
25%
45%
2-3
67%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.2
20.2
9.2
13
45%
8
1
1
0
0
2
3
5
1-1
100%
6-11
1-2
55%
44%
0-3
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.9
17.3
17.8
10
73%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
52%
0-0
-
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.1
2.5
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.4
5.0
0
1-2
44%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.0
1.6
0
0-0
45%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.6
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 33.0
40.7
35.5
10
42%
2
2
3
2
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
2-7
29%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34.3
37.2
38.2
14
42%
2
8
2
1
0
4
1
1
4-4
100%
5-12
7-14
42%
49%
0-3
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.0
31.8
34.4
28
70%
20
0
0
1
3
1
8
12
3-9
33%
11-15
6-10
73%
59%
1-1
100%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 32.4
27.9
31.3
6
43%
7
8
0
0
1
2
4
3
0-0
-
3-7
5-10
43%
51%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.9
18.0
24.1
3
50%
1
3
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.5
32.6
20.6
33
83%
12
2
1
1
1
3
2
10
2-2
100%
8-9
2-5
89%
47%
5-10
50%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.3
31.0
21.4
5
42%
2
8
3
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.3
17.4
11.4
21
117%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
7-8
88%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.3
3.4
12.7
2
100%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.8
21.2
1
1-2
41%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.1
3.3
0
0-1
47%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.9
1.3
0
0-0
42%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.8
Darius Johnson-Odom
G · 6'2" 215 · 23.2
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.