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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 1, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Nets22%9389
1Heat78%104102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
39.2
33.3
10
38%
1
12
2
1
0
4
0
1
3-5
60%
2-7
4-8
29%
46%
1-4
25%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.4
37.7
28.3
13
51%
9
2
1
1
0
4
1
8
2-4
50%
4-5
3-6
80%
47%
1-6
17%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.4
34.5
35.6
12
40%
1
3
0
1
0
4
0
1
0-2
0%
3-5
4-9
60%
46%
2-9
22%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.3
33.6
22.2
20
66%
8
0
1
1
0
1
4
4
4-7
57%
8-12
4-9
67%
43%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
23.3
24.1
11
56%
7
1
1
0
2
0
2
5
3-4
75%
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.1
24.0
10.5
11
48%
3
0
1
0
1
2
1
2
1-1
100%
5-7
1-2
71%
40%
0-4
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.6
15.3
15.7
10
74%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
39%
2-4
50%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.6
14.2
12.9
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.5
14.2
24.4
2
100%
5
0
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 29.5
1.6
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.6
1.4
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.2
1.0
6.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.8
5.9
0
1-2
45%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.7
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.9
37.0
37.7
21
60%
9
6
1
1
0
2
1
8
4-6
67%
7-13
8-14
54%
55%
1-2
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.9
34.2
32.3
34
75%
1
7
1
1
0
0
1
0
5-6
83%
13-17
7-13
76%
51%
1-3
33%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.7
30.1
35.4
8
46%
2
1
0
1
3
3
0
2
4-4
100%
2-7
6-11
29%
52%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.5
17.9
26.9
7
44%
6
1
3
1
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.3
14.1
15.5
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-3
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.1
29.9
18.3
12
55%
2
1
3
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
4-9
2-4
44%
43%
1-1
100%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.4
26.9
25.1
13
87%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
2-3
67%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.5
21.8
18.3
0
0%
7
1
1
0
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.8
20.0
15.8
3
50%
3
1
2
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
1-3
33%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
5.1
3.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
52%
0-0
-
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.8
1.0
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.2
1.0
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-1
0%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.3
1.0
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.2
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.