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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 1, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Jazz31%98116
9Rockets69%104124
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.9
37.4
34.7
20
53%
8
1
1
1
1
0
0
8
0-0
-
10-18
8-15
56%
49%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.8
36.0
29.6
12
44%
11
4
1
1
0
1
2
9
5-6
83%
2-9
5-10
22%
49%
1-2
50%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 30.0
35.9
19.0
16
62%
2
7
1
1
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
5-10
2-5
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.2
32.2
26.0
20
91%
2
6
3
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
41%
4-6
67%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.3
18.7
20.0
4
25%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
46%
0-1
0%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.7
30.8
25.9
21
82%
1
2
0
1
1
4
1
0
2-2
100%
5-7
3-7
71%
47%
3-5
60%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.4
14.3
8.1
11
66%
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
2-3
67%
3-5
1-3
60%
42%
1-2
50%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.5
13.6
14.6
6
43%
5
0
0
0
2
0
3
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.5
12.1
14.0
2
33%
1
3
0
1
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.1
9.1
2.0
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
54%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.8
19.9
1
1-2
42%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.5
17.2
0
1-3
47%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.4
16.1
0
3-5
48%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.2
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.1
39.8
37.3
19
74%
3
3
2
1
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
52%
3-5
60%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.3
39.3
38.3
18
52%
2
7
1
1
0
5
1
1
3-3
100%
6-13
5-10
46%
52%
1-3
33%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.7
35.6
31.7
20
56%
7
1
1
1
3
3
1
6
2-2
100%
6-12
5-11
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.4
34.2
31.3
14
97%
12
2
1
1
3
2
3
9
4-5
80%
5-5
4-8
100%
51%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
33.9
36.0
19
64%
3
8
1
2
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
7-12
4-8
58%
47%
1-2
50%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.3
16.9
6.2
13
93%
5
3
1
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
45%
3-5
60%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.9
16.0
8.9
13
73%
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
7-9
78%
3-5
1-2
60%
51%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.7
14.2
12.5
8
74%
1
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
42%
1-2
50%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
10.2
22.6
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
0-2
2-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.6
21.8
1
1-3
42%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.1
2.2
0
0-1
51%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.2
2.0
0
0-0
51%
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.6
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 20.9
Scott Machado
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.