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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 1, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Celtics45%9588
19Bucks55%9791
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.2
40.2
30.1
15
41%
3
11
3
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
49%
2-9
22%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.2
39.6
28.8
13
59%
3
2
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
5-9
2-5
56%
47%
1-2
50%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.1
36.5
31.3
19
49%
5
6
3
1
1
3
1
4
6-8
75%
5-12
4-9
42%
47%
1-4
25%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.5
31.3
26.3
17
62%
7
4
1
1
1
3
0
7
5-6
83%
6-11
5-11
55%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.6
27.0
23.3
4
33%
8
1
1
0
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
22.6
20.2
18
82%
6
0
0
1
1
2
3
3
0-0
-
6-8
3-5
75%
47%
2-3
67%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.0
13.8
9.5
0
0%
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.7
13.7
22.4
2
25%
5
0
0
1
3
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.0
12.7
16.2
0
0%
0
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.2
2.6
11.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
55%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.8
18.1
1
2-5
49%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.0
6.7
0
1-2
47%
Kris Joseph
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
2.8
0
0-1
45%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.1
40.0
31.5
17
38%
4
7
2
1
0
3
0
4
5-5
100%
6-17
6-12
35%
48%
0-3
0%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.2
39.9
32.4
13
54%
6
2
0
2
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-7
5-10
29%
46%
3-5
60%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.9
35.6
8.7
8
44%
2
5
1
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
4-8
1-2
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.5
15.1
25.2
5
64%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-6
67%
45%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 21.9
13.5
14.9
5
43%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-4
25%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
33.6
12.5
15
59%
5
4
0
0
1
1
1
4
4-4
100%
4-8
2-3
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.0
32.9
22.8
18
68%
16
1
1
1
5
0
4
12
4-5
80%
7-11
3-6
64%
50%
0-0
-
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.1
15.4
15.2
2
33%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.2
14.0
22.2
8
67%
6
2
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.4
17.0
0
2-5
51%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.6
15.2
0
2-4
51%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.2
6.3
0
1-3
45%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.1
2.8
0
0-0
55%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.4
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.