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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 1, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Pistons36%9777
20Mavericks64%10292
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.8
36.7
32.2
12
40%
5
1
0
0
1
1
3
2
1-2
50%
4-12
4-9
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.8
36.5
27.5
10
42%
12
0
2
1
5
2
1
11
2-2
100%
4-11
3-7
36%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 21.0
34.6
27.5
20
59%
4
2
3
1
0
3
1
3
6-7
86%
4-8
3-6
50%
43%
2-6
33%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.6
33.1
33.0
12
69%
4
1
1
1
0
4
1
3
5-6
83%
2-3
3-6
67%
49%
1-3
33%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.5
32.1
30.5
8
23%
15
2
1
1
0
3
7
8
0-1
0%
4-17
6-12
24%
51%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.6
28.4
24.8
9
41%
5
6
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
44%
1-5
20%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.3
14.8
15.6
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.3
12.5
19.6
2
100%
4
2
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
50%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.1
11.3
14.7
4
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.9
7.3
0
1-2
44%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.8
4.7
0
1-1
49%
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.2
4.3
0
0-1
44%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.5
3.2
0
0-1
41%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.3
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.1
35.1
32.7
27
63%
5
4
0
1
0
1
2
3
1-1
100%
4-12
4-8
33%
46%
6-9
67%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.6
30.9
26.9
7
39%
9
4
2
1
1
1
1
8
1-2
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
50%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.4
30.4
22.1
4
21%
4
1
3
1
1
3
0
4
2-3
67%
1-4
1-3
25%
51%
0-4
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 38.3
24.4
11.9
2
13%
2
2
2
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-7
1-2
14%
41%
0-1
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.6
18.7
24.2
10
45%
9
1
0
0
3
4
5
4
0-0
-
5-11
5-10
45%
49%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.7
27.9
20.4
17
66%
12
2
0
1
4
0
4
8
1-2
50%
8-12
3-6
67%
49%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.3
26.9
28.6
5
50%
2
9
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.8
21.2
21.1
12
100%
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
46%
4-6
67%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 27.8
17.6
8.1
6
38%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
1-2
38%
51%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.9
6.9
12.5
2
17%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-3
0%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
18.5
1
2-5
45%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.2
4.9
0
1-1
59%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.5
2.0
0
0-1
45%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.8
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.