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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 1, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Kings13%9381
3Clippers87%108116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.5
38.3
27.8
20
91%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
47%
6-9
67%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.0
36.1
27.7
9
35%
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
4-9
2-4
44%
43%
0-3
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.4
30.4
26.2
16
68%
12
4
0
0
0
0
4
8
4-4
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
49%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 27.9
22.1
27.6
2
17%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-6
33%
44%
0-3
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.3
17.8
30.0
8
39%
6
1
0
1
0
2
1
5
2-3
67%
3-9
6-15
33%
43%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.5
22.9
18.4
2
50%
8
4
0
1
2
0
3
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.7
16.9
19.6
2
33%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.8
16.6
7.7
14
55%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
2-7
1-2
29%
46%
2-4
50%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.8
15.8
12.0
1
8%
2
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
0-5
1-3
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.9
9.8
9.8
3
150%
0
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
1-1
100%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.2
9.7
3.9
4
30%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
1-3
0-1
33%
39%
0-2
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
3.7
16.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.2
18.9
1
3-6
46%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 23.7
28.6
33.1
14
57%
9
2
1
1
0
0
1
8
4-5
80%
5-10
7-13
50%
55%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.4
23.2
24.2
13
47%
6
0
1
1
2
0
3
3
1-4
25%
6-12
4-6
50%
64%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 32.7
22.8
24.5
11
61%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
3-8
38%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.6
21.8
35.6
14
88%
5
5
1
2
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-5
5-9
80%
53%
2-3
67%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 36.2
18.2
22.4
6
60%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
2-4
50%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 32.7
29.8
27.3
17
61%
2
6
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
47%
3-5
60%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.0
26.2
17.3
14
57%
1
4
4
1
2
1
0
1
2-3
67%
6-11
3-5
55%
52%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.7
25.2
23.4
12
86%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
55%
2-3
67%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 33.1
21.1
15.0
6
50%
5
5
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.9
17.4
8.2
5
64%
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
4
1-2
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
59%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.1
5.6
8.9
4
106%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
57%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.3
11.0
0
1-2
51%
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.5
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 40.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.