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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 2, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Suns21%9499
4Knicks79%105106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.8
41.4
25.5
18
71%
10
1
0
1
0
4
1
9
2-4
50%
8-11
4-8
73%
53%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 27.0
35.5
24.7
17
47%
7
3
1
1
0
1
3
4
4-5
80%
5-10
3-7
50%
44%
1-6
17%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.6
26.5
27.5
9
48%
4
5
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-1
0%
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
1-4
25%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.9
21.2
25.3
9
45%
4
2
2
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
45%
1-1
100%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.2
18.4
22.3
6
47%
3
3
0
1
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
1-2
3-7
50%
43%
1-4
25%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 27.6
25.7
17.9
10
83%
5
2
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
5-5
1-3
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.5
25.1
15.5
11
70%
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
2-3
67%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 27.4
24.5
22.6
10
60%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
2-4
50%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.6
21.8
23.7
9
48%
8
0
0
0
0
3
2
6
3-3
100%
3-8
5-9
38%
48%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 34.1
17.8
0
2-5
46%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.4
4.7
0
0-1
42%
Luke Zeller
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.7
3.0
0
0-1
46%
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.1
1.4
0
0-0
41%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 29.5
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 28.4
39.2
29.6
23
68%
3
7
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
7-11
4-9
64%
48%
3-6
50%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.5
37.7
31.2
34
56%
6
2
1
1
2
4
3
3
8-8
100%
7-17
6-13
41%
49%
4-10
40%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 30.2
31.1
28.1
15
77%
13
1
0
1
2
0
6
7
3-4
75%
6-8
4-6
75%
65%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.7
24.7
21.0
8
43%
4
2
2
1
0
0
2
2
1-3
33%
2-6
2-4
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 40.2
18.7
6.1
2
33%
6
2
0
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
47%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.2
37.1
31.1
4
17%
5
4
0
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-9
4-8
11%
48%
0-2
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 29.5
31.6
27.8
12
60%
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
4-9
44%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 28.7
9.6
8.5
8
80%
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
52%
0-0
-
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.5
8.8
19.3
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 38.2
1.4
16.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 39.7
10.4
1
0-0
43%
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.1
6.1
0
1-1
50%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 38.7
3.1
0
0-1
45%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.0
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.