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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 2, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Magic19%92113
7Lakers81%104103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.1
40.5
32.1
30
76%
5
5
1
1
0
5
0
5
4-4
100%
7-10
4-9
70%
48%
4-8
50%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.1
40.5
23.2
17
55%
12
1
0
1
4
1
3
9
1-1
100%
8-15
4-8
53%
45%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.8
38.8
19.1
19
59%
5
13
2
1
0
2
0
5
5-5
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
45%
2-6
33%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.9
35.5
29.0
23
62%
12
2
1
1
2
3
0
12
7-8
88%
8-15
5-13
53%
43%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.6
21.5
21.7
2
100%
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
45%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.4
29.6
26.2
14
47%
2
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
45%
2-7
29%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.8
12.5
11.9
0
0%
3
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-2
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.8
9.2
24.8
2
33%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-6
33%
42%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.7
7.5
6.2
6
104%
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.5
4.4
8.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.0
14.8
0
2-5
46%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.7
12.5
0
1-3
49%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.4
10.7
0
1-3
37%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.7
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34.3
38.7
37.0
34
53%
7
5
1
1
0
2
1
6
10-11
91%
12-25
7-13
48%
50%
0-2
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.0
38.7
32.6
21
47%
15
0
0
1
0
3
6
9
9-21
43%
6-13
6-10
46%
60%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 33.1
37.0
37.3
15
54%
5
5
3
2
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
47%
3-6
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 32.4
28.8
29.4
11
43%
7
2
0
1
1
1
1
6
3-4
75%
4-11
5-9
36%
51%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.9
18.1
21.1
2
20%
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.3
29.9
25.5
3
75%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.5
28.5
25.6
10
67%
5
0
0
1
1
2
0
5
1-1
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
1-3
33%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.1
11.1
2.8
4
40%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.3
9.3
14.2
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.8
13.9
0
0-1
42%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.4
8.2
0
1-2
50%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.9
0.9
0
0-0
43%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.5
Darius Johnson-Odom
G · 6'2" 215 · 23.2
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.