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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 3, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bucks52%9881
25Hornets48%97102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.2
43.0
34.5
25
52%
2
3
1
2
0
2
1
1
0-2
0%
5-13
5-10
38%
46%
5-10
50%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.1
35.2
33.8
17
58%
3
6
1
1
0
4
1
2
5-6
83%
3-9
6-13
33%
48%
2-3
67%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.5
26.9
21.3
7
42%
6
2
0
1
1
3
3
3
3-3
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
46%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 21.9
16.1
14.1
2
17%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
1-5
3-5
20%
51%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.9
15.9
18.1
2
33%
3
2
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.0
25.8
25.9
8
45%
7
1
2
1
7
1
4
3
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
51%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.2
20.2
23.8
6
61%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.2
20.0
21.7
7
35%
8
2
0
1
0
3
7
1
1-2
50%
3-8
3-5
38%
49%
0-1
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
18.7
20.2
2
35%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
3-5
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.1
13.1
15.1
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.4
2.5
11.9
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.1
2.5
2.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.6
10.6
0
1-3
51%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.4
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.6
33.1
31.9
22
74%
7
1
0
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
7-8
3-6
88%
49%
2-6
33%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.2
27.6
26.2
9
64%
6
2
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.9
27.1
30.3
11
61%
2
9
1
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.2
26.3
22.1
5
42%
4
4
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
1-3
33%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.7
23.1
26.4
21
86%
4
2
2
1
1
0
4
0
5-5
100%
8-10
4-8
80%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.8
23.1
17.0
12
47%
3
3
3
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
5-12
3-6
42%
49%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.3
21.7
23.2
0
0%
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-5
2-5
0%
42%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.0
20.9
17.3
10
71%
2
5
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
2-6
71%
45%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.7
20.4
8.6
2
17%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-6
1-2
17%
43%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.6
14.9
14.1
10
85%
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
46%
0-0
-
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.7
1.8
16.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 19.7
7.5
0
1-3
50%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.