Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Raptors	29%	96	110	110.0	100	93.0
	11	Nuggets	71%	104	113	117.7	96	103.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrea Bargnani F · 7'0" 245 · 27	40.3	23	55%	4	0	0	1	2	2	0	4	1-2	50%	8-12	67%	2-8	25%
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 23	39.5	18	69%	7	2	2	1	1	4	1	6	1-1	100%	7-10	70%	1-3	33%
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 27	33.8	24	57%	3	7	0	3	3	4	1	2	11-11	100%	5-12	42%	1-4	25%
Mickael Pietrus F · 6'6" 215 · 31	25.1	3	30%	0	0	1	0	1	4	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Jonas Valančiūnas C · 6'11" 265 · 21	22.9	7	58%	4	1	2	3	0	4	2	2	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-

Terrence Ross G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22	24.0	12	75%	6	0	0	0	2	4	1	5	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Ed Davis F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23	17.1	6	60%	9	3	2	1	1	2	3	6	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 31	16.4	4	50%	0	5	0	0	3	2	0	0	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Amir Johnson C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26	15.5	11	79%	4	1	1	0	2	4	1	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-1	100%
John Lucas III G · 5'11" 166 · 30	5.4	2	33%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 28	\| DND - Sore Left Hip
Aaron Gray C · 7'0" 270 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Quincy Acy F · 6'7" 240 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Landry Fields #2 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Alan Anderson #6 · F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	56%	37	19	9	9	16	0	9	28	17-19	89%	33-58	57%	9-28	32%

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21 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrea Bargnani F · 7'0" 245 · 27	40.3	23	55%	4	0	0	1	2	2	0	4	1-2	50%	8-12	67%	2-8	25%
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 23	39.5	18	69%	7	2	2	1	1	4	1	6	1-1	100%	7-10	70%	1-3	33%
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 27	33.8	24	57%	3	7	0	3	3	4	1	2	11-11	100%	5-12	42%	1-4	25%
Mickael Pietrus F · 6'6" 215 · 31	25.1	3	30%	0	0	1	0	1	4	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Jonas Valančiūnas C · 6'11" 265 · 21	22.9	7	58%	4	1	2	3	0	4	2	2	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-

Terrence Ross G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22	24.0	12	75%	6	0	0	0	2	4	1	5	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Ed Davis F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23	17.1	6	60%	9	3	2	1	1	2	3	6	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 31	16.4	4	50%	0	5	0	0	3	2	0	0	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Amir Johnson C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26	15.5	11	79%	4	1	1	0	2	4	1	3	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-1	100%
John Lucas III G · 5'11" 166 · 30	5.4	2	33%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 28	\| DND - Sore Left Hip
Aaron Gray C · 7'0" 270 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Quincy Acy F · 6'7" 240 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Landry Fields #2 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Alan Anderson #6 · F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	56%	37	19	9	9	16	0	9	28	17-19	89%	33-58	57%	9-28	32%

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11 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andre Iguodala G · 6'6" 215 · 29	33.4	4	33%	2	8	2	0	3	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 24	33.0	13	54%	8	3	1	0	3	2	2	6	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	2-4	50%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 23	32.4	18	56%	10	2	1	1	2	2	7	3	8-11	73%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 25	28.3	16	50%	4	3	0	0	4	1	1	3	1-2	50%	3-10	30%	3-5	60%
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 24	27.8	10	38%	10	0	2	1	1	6	5	5	2-6	33%	4-12	33%	0-0	-

Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 37	25.6	8	80%	3	6	1	0	3	1	0	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 25	23.5	17	65%	6	1	0	5	0	3	3	3	9-16	56%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 27	20.8	19	63%	5	0	4	0	1	2	2	3	0-0	-	8-13	62%	1-2	50%
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22	15.4	8	50%	5	2	0	0	0	2	3	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Evan Fournier G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Anthony Randolph · 6'10" 225 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Quincy Miller F · 6'9" 210 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Wilson Chandler #21 · F · 6'9" 225 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Julyan Stone #10 · G · 6'6" 200 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	53%	53	25	11	7	17	0	23	30	27-43	63%	34-70	49%	6-15	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.12 56.1%

DEN

1.07 53.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

16

26

62%

DEN

24

44

55%

Midrange

TOR

17

32

53%

DEN

10

26

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

9

13.5

28

32%

48%

DEN

6

9.0

15

40%

60%

Free Throws

TOR

17

19

89%

DEN

27

43

63%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Lowry	24	57%	12.0 / 21
A. Bargnani	23	55%	11.5 / 21
D. DeRozan	18	69%	9.0 / 13
T. Ross	12	75%	6.0 / 8
A. Johnson	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. Valančiūnas	7	58%	3.5 / 6
E. Davis	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Calderon	4	50%	2.0 / 4
M. Pietrus	3	30%	1.5 / 5
J. Lucas III	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Brewer	19	63%	9.5 / 15
K. Faried	18	56%	9.0 / 16
J. McGee	17	65%	8.5 / 13
T. Lawson	16	50%	8.0 / 16
D. Gallinari	13	54%	6.5 / 12
K. Koufos	10	38%	5.0 / 13
A. Miller	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Hamilton	8	50%	4.0 / 8
A. Iguodala	4	33%	2.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 105.6 5 110.6	TOR 110.0 DEN 117.7 +7.7
Pace	24 90.7 2 95.0	TOR 93.0 DEN 103.9 +10.9
Avg. Poss. Time	8 16.2 29 14.6	TOR 15.5 DEN 13.9 −1.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	18 48.8% 7 51.5%	TOR 54.1% +3.5% DEN 50.6%
TO %	6 14.4% 18 15.3%	TOR 14.5% DEN 14.1% −0.4%
ORB %	19 25.6% 1 31.4%	TOR 23.1% DEN 45.1% +22.0%
FTrt	13 27.4 5 30.8	TOR 22.1 DEN 50.6 +28.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 59.2% 15 60.0%	TOR 45.2% DEN 62.5% +17.3%
STL %	21 7.9% 2 9.7%	TOR 9.0% DEN 11.5% +2.5%
BLK %	16 7.9% 2 10.4%	TOR 12.9% +0.8% DEN 12.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 51.9% 7 53.5%	TOR 56.1% +2.8% DEN 53.3%
Rim FG%	7 59.3% 6 60.5%	TOR 61.5% +7.0% DEN 54.5%
Mid FG%	16 39.2% 30 35.7%	TOR 53.1% +14.6% DEN 38.5%
3P %	26 34.3% 25 34.3%	TOR 32.1% DEN 40.0% +7.9%
FT %	5 78.8% 28 70.1%	TOR 89.5% +26.7% DEN 62.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 32.6% 1 50.1%	TOR 30.2% DEN 51.8% +21.5%
Mid Att. %	21 42.5% 2 28.2%	TOR 37.2% DEN 30.6% −6.6%
3P Att. %	10 24.9% 22 21.7%	TOR 32.6% +14.9% DEN 17.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.3 and 3.3.

Game Totals	TOR	DEN
Possessions	100	96
Possession Minutes	25.8	22.2
Points	110	113
Rebounds	37	53
Assists	19	25
Steals	9	11
Blocks	9	7
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	23 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (1)	30 (2)
Field Goals	42-86	40-85
At-the-Rim FG	16-26	24-44
Midrange FG	17-32	10-26
2-Point FG	33-58	34-70
3-Point FG	9-28	6-15
Free Throws	17-19	27-43
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg