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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 3, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Magic28%97102
16Warriors72%10494
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.1
37.4
30.2
14
53%
15
3
2
1
2
2
6
9
2-3
67%
6-12
5-10
50%
46%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.1
37.3
35.2
24
68%
4
1
2
1
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
7-11
5-10
64%
49%
2-5
40%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.9
34.7
31.5
24
55%
6
4
1
1
2
0
2
4
4-4
100%
10-20
6-14
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.8
33.3
28.2
7
28%
3
9
2
1
0
3
1
2
0-1
0%
2-6
3-7
33%
46%
1-6
17%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.6
21.8
21.4
2
20%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-2
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.4
35.1
27.8
22
75%
5
7
0
0
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
46%
4-6
67%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.7
14.9
8.0
4
67%
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.8
14.7
18.2
3
25%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
1-4
25%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.0
9.0
9.5
2
20%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
47%
0-0
-
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.5
1.9
6.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.8
12.4
0
1-2
50%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.4
7.0
0
1-2
38%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.7
6.9
0
1-2
45%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.8
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
44.2
37.4
25
54%
5
11
2
2
0
1
1
4
4-5
80%
6-15
4-9
40%
50%
3-6
50%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.6
38.8
35.6
22
59%
9
2
1
1
2
3
1
8
4-6
67%
9-16
7-14
56%
53%
0-0
-
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.5
34.6
25.1
9
51%
4
2
1
1
2
1
0
4
0-2
0%
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.8
30.4
39.1
8
33%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
5-10
17%
48%
2-6
33%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.1
15.8
18.2
4
40%
4
0
0
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
52%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.1
29.4
25.0
17
72%
4
4
1
1
0
3
0
4
4-4
100%
5-7
3-7
71%
49%
1-3
33%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.2
25.9
26.2
9
53%
10
0
0
1
1
2
3
7
1-1
100%
4-8
5-8
50%
54%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.8
10.1
13.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.7
6.1
6.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
58%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.8
4.3
4.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.4
0.5
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.5
3.1
0
0-0
47%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.5
0.5
0
0-0
47%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.4
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.