Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Magic	28%	97	102	110.9	92	85.1
	16	Warriors	72%	104	94	104.4	90	97.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 22	37.4	14	54%	15	3	2	2	2	2	6	9	2-3	67%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 27	37.3	24	67%	4	1	2	0	1	2	1	3	4-4	100%	7-11	64%	2-5	40%
Glen Davis F · 6'9" 289 · 27	34.7	24	57%	6	4	1	2	0	3	2	4	4-4	100%	10-20	50%	0-0	-
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 31	33.3	7	29%	3	9	2	0	3	2	1	2	0-1	0%	2-6	33%	1-6	17%
Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 20	21.8	2	20%	5	2	0	0	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%

JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28	35.1	22	73%	5	7	0	0	1	2	0	5	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	4-6	67%
Gustavo Ayon · 6'10" 250 · 28	14.9	4	67%	4	1	1	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
E'Twaun Moore F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24	14.7	3	25%	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 23	9.0	2	20%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
DeQuan Jones F · 6'8" 221 · 22	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kyle O'Quinn C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Al Harrington #3 · F · 6'9" 245 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Hedo Turkoglu #15 · F · 6'10" 220 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	51%	43	29	8	4	8	0	12	31	14-16	88%	32-69	46%	8-23	35%

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26 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 22	37.4	14	54%	15	3	2	2	2	2	6	9	2-3	67%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 27	37.3	24	67%	4	1	2	0	1	2	1	3	4-4	100%	7-11	64%	2-5	40%
Glen Davis F · 6'9" 289 · 27	34.7	24	57%	6	4	1	2	0	3	2	4	4-4	100%	10-20	50%	0-0	-
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 31	33.3	7	29%	3	9	2	0	3	2	1	2	0-1	0%	2-6	33%	1-6	17%
Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 20	21.8	2	20%	5	2	0	0	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%

JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28	35.1	22	73%	5	7	0	0	1	2	0	5	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	4-6	67%
Gustavo Ayon · 6'10" 250 · 28	14.9	4	67%	4	1	1	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
E'Twaun Moore F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24	14.7	3	25%	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 23	9.0	2	20%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
DeQuan Jones F · 6'8" 221 · 22	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kyle O'Quinn C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Al Harrington #3 · F · 6'9" 245 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Hedo Turkoglu #15 · F · 6'10" 220 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	51%	43	29	8	4	8	0	12	31	14-16	88%	32-69	46%	8-23	35%

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16 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry G · 6'2" 185 · 25	44.2	25	54%	5	11	2	0	1	0	1	4	4-5	80%	6-15	40%	3-6	50%
David Lee F · 6'9" 245 · 30	38.8	22	58%	9	2	1	2	3	5	1	8	4-6	67%	9-16	56%	0-0	-
Harrison Barnes F · 6'7" 225 · 21	34.6	9	50%	4	2	1	2	1	1	0	4	0-2	0%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Klay Thompson G · 6'5" 220 · 23	30.4	8	33%	2	4	0	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-6	17%	2-6	33%
Festus Ezeli C · 6'11" 265 · 23	15.8	4	40%	4	0	0	0	1	2	3	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Jarrett Jack G · 6'3" 200 · 29	29.4	17	71%	4	4	1	0	3	2	0	4	4-4	100%	5-7	71%	1-3	33%
Carl Landry F · 6'9" 248 · 29	25.9	9	56%	10	0	0	1	2	2	3	7	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Draymond Green F · 6'6" 230 · 23	10.1	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Andris Biedrins C · 7'0" 250 · 27	6.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Charles Jenkins G · 6'3" 215 · 24	4.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kent Bazemore G · 6'5" 201 · 23	0.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Richard Jefferson F · 6'7" 233 · 32	\| DND - Strained Right Calf
Jeremy Tyler F · 6'10" 250 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Brandon Rush #4 · G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Andrew Bogut #12 · C · 7'0" 260 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	52%	43	23	5	5	13	0	9	34	13-18	72%	30-64	47%	7-17	41%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

1.01 50.5%

GSW

1.03 51.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

17

30

57%

GSW

11

22

50%

Midrange

ORL

15

39

38%

GSW

19

42

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

8

12.0

23

35%

52%

GSW

7

10.5

17

41%

62%

Free Throws

ORL

14

16

88%

GSW

13

18

72%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Afflalo	24	67%	12.0 / 18
G. Davis	24	57%	12.0 / 21
J. Redick	22	73%	11.0 / 15
N. Vučević	14	54%	7.0 / 13
J. Nelson	7	29%	3.5 / 12
G. Ayon	4	67%	2.0 / 3
E. Moore	3	25%	1.5 / 6
M. Harkless	2	20%	1.0 / 5
A. Nicholson	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	25	54%	12.5 / 23
D. Lee	22	58%	11.0 / 19
J. Jack	17	71%	8.5 / 12
H. Barnes	9	50%	4.5 / 9
C. Landry	9	56%	4.5 / 8
K. Thompson	8	33%	4.0 / 12
F. Ezeli	4	40%	2.0 / 5
A. Biedrins	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 102.0 12 106.1	ORL 110.9 +6.4 GSW 104.4
Pace	16 91.9 4 94.8	ORL 85.1 GSW 97.9 +12.7
Avg. Poss. Time	13 15.7 28 14.7	ORL 16.9 GSW 14.7 −2.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 48.5% 10 50.6%	ORL 47.8% GSW 50.0% +2.2%
TO %	13 15.2% 23 15.5%	ORL 7.5% −6.1% GSW 13.6%
ORB %	22 25.4% 21 25.4%	ORL 26.1% +3.6% GSW 22.5%
FTrt	30 19.7 22 25.5	ORL 17.4 GSW 22.2 +4.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 60.5% 20 58.9%	ORL 72.5% +10.3% GSW 62.2%
STL %	30 7.0% 27 7.3%	ORL 8.7% +3.1% GSW 5.6%
BLK %	24 7.0% 26 6.8%	ORL 6.3% GSW 7.2% +0.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 50.2% 9 53.2%	ORL 50.5% GSW 51.6% +1.1%
Rim FG%	12 58.5% 15 57.2%	ORL 56.7% +6.7% GSW 50.0%
Mid FG%	13 39.6% 6 40.7%	ORL 38.5% GSW 45.2% +6.7%
3P %	29 32.9% 1 40.3%	ORL 34.8% GSW 41.2% +6.4%
FT %	15 75.5% 4 79.0%	ORL 87.5% +15.3% GSW 72.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 35.4% 29 31.2%	ORL 32.6% +5.4% GSW 27.2%
Mid Att. %	20 42.3% 26 44.9%	ORL 42.4% −9.5% GSW 51.9%
3P Att. %	20 22.3% 14 23.9%	ORL 25.0% +4.0% GSW 21.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.

Game Totals	ORL	GSW
Possessions	92	90
Possession Minutes	25.9	22.1
Points	102	94
Rebounds	43	43
Assists	29	23
Steals	8	5
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	8 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (5)	9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (2)	34 (2)
Field Goals	40-92	37-81
At-the-Rim FG	17-30	11-22
Midrange FG	15-39	19-42
2-Point FG	32-69	30-64
3-Point FG	8-23	7-17
Free Throws	14-16	13-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg