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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 4, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Timberwolves44%95105
1776ers56%9888
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 32.6
29.0
18.9
16
62%
10
0
1
1
0
4
2
8
0-2
0%
5-9
3-6
56%
43%
2-3
67%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.9
26.8
32.8
6
43%
5
2
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-7
6-12
43%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.2
25.9
33.2
6
28%
10
5
0
1
0
1
2
8
1-2
50%
1-5
5-11
20%
47%
1-5
20%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.8
21.3
31.6
10
56%
0
4
2
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.5
18.6
14.1
10
125%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
2-2
100%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.0
29.4
29.1
17
91%
3
4
0
1
1
3
0
3
3-3
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
45%
4-7
57%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.4
26.7
23.2
11
55%
2
10
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
44%
1-3
33%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
25.5
19.6
13
60%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
6-10
3-6
60%
49%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.2
17.8
7.9
6
104%
5
1
1
0
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.5
15.7
12.1
10
74%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-4
25%
0-1
2-3
0%
45%
3-4
75%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.0
3.4
2.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.8
17.9
1
2-4
50%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.4
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.1
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.1
36.5
37.1
19
45%
5
2
1
1
0
3
1
4
1-3
33%
6-16
5-11
38%
46%
2-4
50%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.5
31.2
37.4
13
44%
5
9
1
2
0
3
1
4
3-4
75%
5-9
6-12
56%
47%
0-4
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.9
29.5
29.9
14
60%
7
4
2
1
1
2
2
5
2-4
50%
6-7
3-5
86%
47%
0-3
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.5
26.7
36.3
13
62%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
6-10
6-12
60%
52%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.8
24.5
29.1
6
50%
5
1
2
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.6
21.9
18.0
6
44%
4
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
1-2
50%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.9
18.7
1.0
4
52%
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
0-0
33%
42%
0-0
-
Maalik Wayns
G · 6'1" 195 · 21.6
14.3
8.9
2
17%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
42%
0-2
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.0
12.4
15.8
6
50%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
2-5
40%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.7
11.7
7.0
1
57%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.0
11.0
1.6
4
38%
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
1
2-5
40%
1-3
0-0
33%
48%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.0
1.6
2.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.5
13.9
0
1-3
45%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.