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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 4, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat81%103101
28Wizards19%91105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.9
42.9
36.8
26
51%
13
11
3
2
2
3
2
11
1-3
33%
11-20
8-14
55%
55%
1-4
25%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.7
35.6
32.2
20
78%
12
4
0
1
0
1
3
9
3-4
75%
7-9
5-10
78%
52%
1-2
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.9
34.2
33.0
24
54%
2
3
2
1
0
1
1
1
6-7
86%
9-18
7-14
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.3
14.6
14.5
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.5
10.2
22.3
0
0%
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-2
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.4
34.9
25.4
11
46%
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
3-9
33%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.8
29.3
17.9
11
55%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
3-8
38%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.5
17.5
20.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.3
12.0
1.4
3
31%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
1-3
0-0
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
8.9
4.9
6
100%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.8
3.0
0
0-1
51%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.2
1.7
0
0-0
40%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.8
1.6
0
0-0
48%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.1
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.0
35.1
17.7
9
43%
9
3
0
1
1
1
2
7
5-8
63%
2-6
1-3
33%
44%
0-1
0%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.2
23.1
26.3
14
89%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
41%
2-4
50%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.4
16.9
26.2
10
45%
2
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
42%
0-3
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.4
16.2
25.0
4
33%
2
5
3
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-6
33%
44%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.2
12.7
18.0
4
106%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
1-1
3-5
100%
51%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.0
31.8
20.7
13
58%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
5-5
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
47%
2-4
50%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.0
31.4
27.1
16
67%
10
2
0
1
1
3
1
9
0-0
-
8-12
6-12
67%
49%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.1
31.1
25.8
22
59%
3
6
1
1
0
1
1
2
5-6
83%
4-10
4-9
40%
45%
3-6
50%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 27.2
24.9
15.4
6
50%
4
4
2
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
46%
0-1
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.2
16.8
16.6
7
53%
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
3-6
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
55%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.0
6.6
0
0-1
42%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.6
6.3
0
1-1
50%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 31.3
5.4
0
1-2
40%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.0
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.