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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 4, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Pacers34%8880
7Bulls66%9376
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
41.0
30.3
34
63%
9
2
3
1
2
2
4
5
5-5
100%
13-22
3-6
59%
45%
1-3
33%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.2
37.9
24.6
6
47%
7
1
0
1
0
1
2
5
2-3
67%
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.6
36.9
34.5
8
24%
3
5
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-11
4-7
18%
48%
1-5
20%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.3
35.4
35.0
10
34%
9
5
1
1
0
1
2
7
4-6
67%
3-12
7-14
25%
48%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.0
34.2
28.5
10
45%
11
2
2
1
2
3
6
5
0-0
-
5-11
5-10
45%
46%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.1
13.8
17.9
6
53%
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
4-6
67%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.1
12.7
12.0
2
20%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-4
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.1
11.1
12.0
2
30%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-3
67%
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.5
11.1
21.9
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
45%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.9
6.1
16.7
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
1.1
0
0-0
48%
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.9
1.1
0
0-0
40%
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.7
0.7
0
0-0
40%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.3
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.6
41.2
39.9
17
47%
7
3
0
1
0
4
1
6
6-7
86%
4-13
5-11
31%
48%
1-2
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.8
39.5
38.2
9
48%
7
3
1
1
3
5
2
5
1-1
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
51%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.0
27.5
29.4
14
52%
10
2
0
1
0
2
2
8
0-1
0%
7-13
6-12
54%
51%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.7
24.0
10.6
6
44%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.9
23.6
31.7
5
36%
0
6
1
1
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
45%
1-2
50%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.2
30.5
20.2
4
50%
9
0
1
1
0
1
4
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.5
24.6
14.4
19
59%
2
1
0
1
0
4
0
2
7-7
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
2-7
29%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
21.1
21.8
0
0%
7
1
0
1
2
1
3
4
0-0
-
0-5
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.2
7.9
3.6
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 19.8
0.1
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.0
1.5
0
0-0
42%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.8
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.