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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 5, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Knicks78%105100
30Bobcats22%9498
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.5
38.1
33.4
23
48%
3
2
3
1
1
1
0
3
4-4
100%
5-15
7-14
33%
48%
3-7
43%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 28.4
35.9
32.9
17
44%
2
9
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
5-11
5-10
45%
47%
2-8
25%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 30.2
34.6
28.9
18
77%
17
2
1
1
1
2
8
9
2-4
50%
8-10
4-6
80%
65%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.7
18.3
22.2
9
51%
5
0
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
2-5
40%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 40.2
4.7
11.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.2
31.7
33.0
13
41%
1
4
1
1
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
5-7
4-8
71%
47%
1-9
11%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 29.5
25.7
28.9
9
56%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
3-8
38%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 39.7
25.4
8.7
7
90%
2
1
2
1
3
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
44%
2-3
67%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 38.2
13.4
10.4
2
20%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.6
12.1
14.8
2
100%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.1
0.1
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 28.7
8.8
0
2-3
51%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 38.7
2.6
0
0-1
45%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.1
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.5
39.5
25.8
6
51%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.6
33.6
32.2
25
69%
2
11
1
1
0
1
0
2
7-7
100%
6-11
4-10
55%
42%
2-4
50%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.2
26.5
24.4
12
75%
3
2
0
1
1
4
1
2
0-0
-
6-8
4-8
75%
46%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.0
21.5
23.3
4
50%
9
0
0
0
0
0
2
7
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.8
19.2
33.4
6
38%
5
3
0
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-7
3-8
43%
44%
0-1
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.3
29.9
20.9
2
20%
12
1
0
0
1
0
5
7
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
48%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.7
26.1
28.3
17
57%
3
2
1
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
4-10
3-7
40%
45%
3-5
60%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.0
25.0
18.3
18
57%
6
0
0
1
1
0
3
3
2-4
50%
5-11
3-6
45%
46%
2-3
67%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.7
14.4
27.2
8
51%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
3-6
4-9
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.2
4.3
3.3
0
0%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.8
6.0
0
0-1
41%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 30.4
4.0
0
1-1
44%
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 23.5
2.3
0
0-1
41%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.