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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 5, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Trail Blazers37%9392
13Pacers63%9799
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.4
42.7
35.5
23
67%
3
6
0
1
0
0
0
3
4-5
80%
8-10
3-8
80%
43%
1-5
20%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.1
38.4
35.8
19
59%
4
3
1
1
0
2
1
3
6-7
86%
2-4
3-7
50%
46%
3-9
33%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.4
37.0
36.1
18
49%
10
0
2
1
1
1
1
9
8-10
80%
5-14
8-16
36%
49%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.0
29.1
37.5
5
31%
0
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
1-5
20%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.3
26.4
21.5
14
58%
12
1
0
0
0
2
5
7
0-0
-
7-12
3-6
58%
48%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.5
14.6
9.9
5
83%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
41%
1-1
100%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 21.9
13.9
11.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 25.8
12.8
9.7
0
0%
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 20.8
11.5
17.3
4
50%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.0
8.3
4.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.4
5.3
8.7
2
50%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.1
5.2
0
0-1
43%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.5
4.5
0
0-1
40%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.5
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
37.5
35.0
22
66%
8
5
1
2
0
4
0
8
4-4
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
48%
4-9
44%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.6
33.7
35.1
18
59%
2
3
1
1
1
3
0
2
5-5
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
49%
3-7
43%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.3
32.5
34.6
16
73%
10
2
1
1
0
2
5
5
0-0
-
8-11
7-14
73%
51%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 26.0
29.1
31.0
10
34%
7
0
0
1
3
1
3
4
4-4
100%
3-13
5-11
23%
48%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.3
23.1
30.7
2
25%
5
3
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.9
23.1
11.7
8
50%
2
2
0
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
2-5
40%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.1
18.6
15.9
12
100%
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
6-6
2-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.1
15.7
12.7
10
64%
5
0
1
0
0
1
3
2
4-4
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.1
14.7
11.6
1
13%
0
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.5
12.1
16.7
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-1
0%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
1.2
0
0-0
52%
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.0
1.2
0
0-0
50%
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.7
0.8
0
0-0
47%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.6
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.