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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 5, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Bulls65%9895
29Cavaliers35%9285
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.8
44.3
38.4
13
44%
15
5
1
1
2
1
5
10
3-4
75%
5-13
5-10
38%
51%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.6
42.4
40.2
22
72%
7
2
0
1
0
4
1
6
5-5
100%
7-11
6-11
64%
48%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.7
39.6
17.6
23
62%
3
0
1
0
0
3
0
3
7-8
88%
5-7
2-3
71%
45%
2-8
25%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.9
34.6
27.5
11
70%
1
8
2
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
1-2
50%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.0
32.1
28.2
10
46%
12
4
0
1
1
2
2
10
2-4
50%
4-9
6-12
44%
51%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
15.9
21.6
2
50%
3
0
0
1
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.2
14.0
25.4
6
51%
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.5
13.4
19.7
6
38%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
48%
0-2
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.2
3.7
6.1
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.0
1.4
0
0-0
42%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 19.8
1.3
0
0-0
46%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.2
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.2
36.2
36.8
11
31%
15
3
3
1
0
3
5
10
3-4
75%
4-16
6-11
25%
53%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 21.7
32.3
29.9
11
56%
5
0
1
1
2
2
5
0
1-2
50%
5-9
4-8
56%
46%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.5
30.4
30.4
8
40%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
3-7
67%
45%
0-4
0%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.7
28.9
28.8
9
33%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
3-8
3-7
38%
42%
0-4
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.8
28.3
25.3
10
63%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
39%
2-3
67%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.9
24.8
21.5
10
39%
7
0
1
0
0
1
3
4
2-2
100%
4-12
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.9
23.6
12.5
14
72%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
2-3
67%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.5
17.6
19.4
1
13%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-4
25%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.7
15.2
8.1
10
59%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-7
1-2
43%
45%
1-1
100%
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 23.9
2.7
4.3
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Kevin Jones
F · 6'8" 260 · 23.3
8.8
0
1-2
44%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.6
3.3
0
0-1
47%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.7
1.1
0
0-0
43%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.0
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.