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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 5, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Bucks23%9499
5Spurs77%104110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.2
38.9
37.2
14
43%
2
4
1
2
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
4-13
5-11
31%
43%
1-2
50%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.1
37.7
33.8
21
44%
7
11
3
1
0
0
0
7
10-11
91%
4-16
6-13
25%
46%
1-3
33%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.9
28.8
17.2
12
53%
2
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-3
33%
4-9
2-5
44%
46%
1-1
100%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.5
25.5
23.1
7
61%
5
1
0
1
2
0
3
2
3-4
75%
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.0
17.2
25.5
4
50%
7
2
2
1
1
3
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
30.2
19.8
17
66%
5
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
6-9
2-5
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.1
22.1
14.2
4
25%
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
1-3
29%
41%
0-1
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.2
19.2
22.3
10
65%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
5-6
83%
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.6
17.1
7.8
8
67%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
49%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 21.9
2.1
14.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
46%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.4
1.2
8.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.2
6.1
0
1-2
43%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.2
2.5
0
0-0
52%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.4
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.6
35.7
28.4
22
69%
4
10
1
1
0
7
0
4
10-11
91%
6-11
6-12
55%
52%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.2
31.1
30.9
22
58%
6
2
0
1
0
1
2
4
6-7
86%
5-10
4-7
50%
49%
2-6
33%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.6
26.7
26.4
17
52%
10
1
0
1
2
2
1
9
3-3
100%
7-15
6-11
47%
52%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.6
21.9
21.9
4
40%
4
1
0
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
55%
0-2
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.6
12.9
17.7
5
43%
4
0
0
1
0
0
4
0
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
53%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.4
24.9
22.9
11
49%
4
6
1
1
0
2
0
4
3-3
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
53%
2-5
40%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.9
24.1
20.7
15
76%
5
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
7-9
3-6
78%
59%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.7
23.5
16.7
5
36%
12
0
0
0
0
1
3
9
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
1-5
20%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.5
17.1
13.5
7
88%
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
1-2
50%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.7
11.8
6.3
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.3
10.3
9.7
2
50%
2
2
2
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
20.5
1
1-2
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.3
11.5
0
1-3
49%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.4
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.