Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Magic	35%	97	81	91.0	89	85.7
	14	Jazz	65%	102	87	95.6	91	94.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 31	39.4	17	50%	5	5	2	0	3	3	2	3	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	1-4	25%
Glen Davis F · 6'9" 289 · 27	38.7	18	50%	12	1	0	2	3	4	2	10	4-6	67%	7-16	44%	0-0	-
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 22	38.3	6	33%	16	1	0	2	2	2	7	9	0-0	-	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 27	36.4	16	62%	3	2	1	0	2	0	0	3	2-2	100%	7-9	78%	0-3	0%
Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 20	15.2	0	0%	3	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28	35.8	14	54%	2	4	1	0	5	4	0	2	4-5	80%	5-7	71%	0-5	0%
Gustavo Ayon · 6'10" 250 · 28	11.0	0	0%	2	2	0	1	2	4	2	0	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
E'Twaun Moore F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24	8.6	2	25%	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 23	8.0	8	80%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 26	5.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeQuan Jones F · 6'8" 221 · 22	3.2	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kyle O'Quinn C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Al Harrington #3 · F · 6'9" 245 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Hedo Turkoglu #15 · F · 6'10" 220 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	81	47%	46	15	6	7	19	0	13	33	12-17	71%	33-62	53%	1-15	7%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

25 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 31	39.4	17	50%	5	5	2	0	3	3	2	3	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	1-4	25%
Glen Davis F · 6'9" 289 · 27	38.7	18	50%	12	1	0	2	3	4	2	10	4-6	67%	7-16	44%	0-0	-
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 22	38.3	6	33%	16	1	0	2	2	2	7	9	0-0	-	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 27	36.4	16	62%	3	2	1	0	2	0	0	3	2-2	100%	7-9	78%	0-3	0%
Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 20	15.2	0	0%	3	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28	35.8	14	54%	2	4	1	0	5	4	0	2	4-5	80%	5-7	71%	0-5	0%
Gustavo Ayon · 6'10" 250 · 28	11.0	0	0%	2	2	0	1	2	4	2	0	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
E'Twaun Moore F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24	8.6	2	25%	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 23	8.0	8	80%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 26	5.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeQuan Jones F · 6'8" 221 · 22	3.2	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kyle O'Quinn C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Al Harrington #3 · F · 6'9" 245 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Hedo Turkoglu #15 · F · 6'10" 220 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	81	47%	46	15	6	7	19	0	13	33	12-17	71%	33-62	53%	1-15	7%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

14 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 28	38.9	22	61%	4	3	1	3	2	2	1	3	6-9	67%	8-13	62%	0-1	0%
Al Jefferson C · 6'10" 280 · 28	34.8	31	70%	15	2	1	0	1	4	3	12	5-5	100%	13-20	65%	0-0	-
Mo Williams G · 6'1" 198 · 30	32.1	9	45%	1	7	4	0	3	1	0	1	3-3	100%	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 29	29.9	3	21%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-6	17%
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 26	23.4	8	50%	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%

Gordon Hayward F · 6'8" 226 · 23	23.1	4	25%	5	2	2	0	1	2	1	4	4-4	100%	0-5	0%	0-1	0%
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 26	19.9	6	75%	1	1	3	1	0	3	1	0	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Enes Kanter C · 6'11" 245 · 21	16.0	4	40%	3	0	0	0	2	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Earl Watson G · 6'1" 199 · 33	15.9	0	0%	1	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Jeremy Evans F · 6'9" 200 · 25	6.0	0	0%	2	0	1	0	1	0	1	1	0-2	0%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Alec Burks G · 6'5" 214 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jamaal Tinsley G · 6'3" 188 · 35	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Derrick Favors F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21	\| DND - Plantar fasciitis
Kevin Murphy #55 · G · 6'6" 185 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Raja Bell #19 · G · 6'5" 210 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	87	47%	38	17	13	4	12	0	8	30	22-27	81%	31-67	46%	1-10	10%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	ORL	UTA

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ORL

0.94 47.1%

UTA

0.95 47.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ORL

20

29

69%

UTA

21

38

55%

Midrange

ORL

13

33

39%

UTA

10

29

34%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ORL

1

1.5

15

7%

10%

UTA

1

1.5

10

10%

15%

Free Throws

ORL

12

17

71%

UTA

22

27

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Davis	18	50%	9.0 / 18
J. Nelson	17	50%	8.5 / 17
A. Afflalo	16	62%	8.0 / 13
J. Redick	14	54%	7.0 / 13
A. Nicholson	8	80%	4.0 / 5
N. Vučević	6	33%	3.0 / 9
E. Moore	2	25%	1.0 / 4
M. Harkless	0	-	0.0 / 2
G. Ayon	0	-	0.0 / 1
D. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Jefferson	31	70%	15.5 / 22
P. Millsap	22	61%	11.0 / 18
M. Williams	9	45%	4.5 / 10
M. Williams	8	50%	4.0 / 8
D. Carroll	6	75%	3.0 / 4
G. Hayward	4	25%	2.0 / 8
E. Kanter	4	40%	2.0 / 5
R. Foye	3	21%	1.5 / 7
E. Watson	0	-	0.0 / 3
J. Evans	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	26 102.0 11 106.4	ORL 91.0 UTA 95.6 +4.6
Pace	16 91.9 18 91.3	ORL 85.7 UTA 94.6 +8.9
Avg. Poss. Time	13 15.7 7 16.2	ORL 16.8 UTA 15.2 −1.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 48.5% 15 49.2%	ORL 44.8% +2.6% UTA 42.2%
TO %	13 15.2% 19 15.4%	ORL 19.1% UTA 12.8% −6.3%
ORB %	22 25.4% 8 28.8%	ORL 30.2% +10.7% UTA 19.5%
FTrt	30 19.7 12 28.1	ORL 22.1 UTA 35.1 +13.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 60.5% 8 61.0%	ORL 44.1% UTA 53.1% +9.0%
STL %	30 7.0% 5 9.2%	ORL 6.7% UTA 14.3% +7.6%
BLK %	24 7.0% 3 10.2%	ORL 10.4% +3.9% UTA 6.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	22 50.2% 17 51.9%	ORL 47.1% UTA 47.3% +0.2%
Rim FG%	12 58.5% 10 58.8%	ORL 69.0% +13.7% UTA 55.3%
Mid FG%	13 39.6% 23 38.2%	ORL 39.4% +4.9% UTA 34.5%
3P %	29 32.9% 8 36.6%	ORL 6.7% UTA 10.0% +3.3%
FT %	15 75.5% 12 76.5%	ORL 70.6% UTA 81.5% +10.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 35.4% 14 36.4%	ORL 37.7% UTA 49.4% +11.7%
Mid Att. %	20 42.3% 22 43.0%	ORL 42.9% UTA 37.7% −5.2%
3P Att. %	20 22.3% 28 20.6%	ORL 19.5% +6.5% UTA 13.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ORL	UTA
Possessions	89	91
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	81	87
Rebounds	46	38
Assists	15	17
Steals	6	13
Blocks	7	4
Turnovers (Team)	19 (1)	12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (1)	8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (2)	30 (2)
Field Goals	34-77	32-77
At-the-Rim FG	20-29	21-38
Midrange FG	13-33	10-29
2-Point FG	33-62	31-67
3-Point FG	1-15	1-10
Free Throws	12-17	22-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg