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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 5, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Magic36%9781
14Jazz64%10287
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.8
39.4
29.9
17
50%
5
5
2
1
0
3
2
3
2-2
100%
6-12
3-7
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.9
38.7
32.1
18
48%
12
1
0
1
2
3
2
10
4-6
67%
7-16
6-14
44%
44%
0-0
-
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.1
38.3
32.0
6
33%
16
1
0
1
2
2
7
9
0-0
-
3-9
5-11
33%
47%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.1
36.4
35.2
16
62%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
7-9
5-10
78%
50%
0-3
0%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.6
15.2
21.1
0
0%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-1
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.4
35.8
30.1
14
49%
2
4
1
1
0
5
0
2
4-5
80%
5-7
3-6
71%
47%
0-5
0%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.7
11.0
10.4
0
0%
2
2
0
0
1
2
2
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.8
8.6
16.8
2
25%
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.0
8.0
9.2
8
80%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
48%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.8
5.3
8.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.5
3.2
5.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.4
5.2
0
0-1
39%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.7
4.7
0
1-1
46%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.8
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.8
38.9
31.1
22
61%
4
3
1
1
3
2
1
3
6-9
67%
8-13
5-10
62%
51%
0-1
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.9
34.8
35.0
31
70%
15
2
1
1
0
1
3
12
5-5
100%
13-20
8-15
65%
51%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 30.0
32.1
29.0
9
44%
1
7
4
1
0
3
0
1
3-3
100%
3-9
3-7
33%
47%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.2
29.9
30.4
3
21%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
1-6
17%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.5
23.4
10.4
8
51%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.7
23.1
26.2
4
26%
5
2
2
1
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
0-5
3-7
0%
50%
0-1
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.4
19.9
20.5
6
77%
1
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.5
16.0
15.0
4
40%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
53%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.5
15.9
12.4
0
0%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.1
6.0
7.4
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
0-3
1-2
0%
58%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.4
10.6
0
1-3
45%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.8
10.4
0
1-1
44%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.4
8.8
0
1-3
50%
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 22.8
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.