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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 5, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Raptors51%101100
27Kings49%100107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.3
39.8
35.4
14
41%
5
1
2
1
4
3
1
4
0-2
0%
7-16
6-13
44%
47%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.8
39.7
24.2
21
64%
6
1
1
1
0
1
1
5
3-3
100%
6-9
1-2
67%
48%
2-6
33%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.7
38.0
29.1
34
67%
5
11
1
1
0
3
0
5
12-12
100%
5-11
3-7
45%
46%
4-9
44%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.1
26.7
31.8
8
27%
3
3
0
1
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
3-8
5-10
38%
48%
0-6
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.6
15.8
23.4
3
31%
3
0
0
1
1
1
2
1
1-2
50%
1-4
3-7
25%
52%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.6
30.8
18.4
4
106%
4
5
2
1
2
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-1
3-5
100%
57%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
22.8
18.5
13
55%
11
0
0
1
1
0
4
7
3-4
75%
5-10
2-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.2
14.3
20.7
3
44%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 21.8
12.2
21.8
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.9
9.8
0
1-2
48%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.0
6.1
0
1-2
42%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.0
3.6
0
0-1
53%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.2
2.1
0
0-0
46%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.4
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.3
36.5
25.0
25
65%
13
1
0
1
1
4
2
11
3-3
100%
11-17
6-13
65%
46%
0-1
0%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.2
34.1
14.3
23
54%
2
2
1
1
2
2
1
1
7-12
58%
5-12
2-5
42%
49%
2-4
50%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.4
33.7
27.6
13
57%
10
1
1
1
0
1
3
7
1-1
100%
6-11
4-7
55%
53%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.0
33.4
30.4
12
76%
2
7
0
1
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
2-2
100%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 27.9
33.1
24.9
11
48%
1
4
1
1
0
3
0
1
6-8
75%
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
1-3
33%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.5
17.1
31.2
3
20%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
1-4
4-8
25%
50%
0-3
0%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.7
15.2
18.2
7
74%
4
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
3-4
75%
2-3
2-5
67%
51%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
14.2
11.1
6
55%
8
1
0
0
2
1
1
7
0-1
0%
3-5
1-3
60%
48%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.8
12.3
13.2
7
60%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.5
10.3
19.8
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.8
11.3
0
1-2
50%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.9
9.8
0
1-1
49%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.2
6.4
0
1-1
42%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.