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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 6, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Knicks36%98112
3Heat64%10392
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 28.4
35.3
33.8
27
66%
4
7
2
1
0
3
1
3
1-1
100%
4-10
4-10
40%
44%
6-10
60%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 39.7
31.6
17.5
11
46%
2
4
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
40%
3-8
38%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 30.2
31.4
31.3
13
62%
9
0
1
1
1
2
1
8
5-8
63%
4-7
4-7
57%
62%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.7
27.2
20.3
0
0%
1
2
1
1
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 40.2
11.2
8.2
4
100%
7
1
0
0
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 29.5
34.2
27.1
18
69%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
44%
4-9
44%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.2
22.6
32.0
13
39%
6
4
1
1
0
1
0
6
2-4
50%
1-7
4-8
14%
44%
3-8
38%
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.1
16.6
2.5
7
117%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 38.2
14.3
11.9
12
38%
7
0
0
0
1
0
3
4
4-6
67%
4-7
1-3
57%
45%
0-6
0%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.6
13.3
13.4
7
117%
6
1
2
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 28.7
2.3
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.5
35.1
1
6-14
45%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 38.7
2.6
0
0-1
41%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.1
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.9
38.6
39.1
31
65%
10
9
3
2
0
2
2
8
6-9
67%
8-15
8-15
53%
55%
3-5
60%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.9
31.7
33.3
13
42%
3
1
0
1
0
4
0
3
6-6
100%
2-11
7-14
18%
51%
1-2
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.7
29.6
33.5
12
41%
6
1
1
1
2
1
1
5
6-6
100%
3-12
5-11
25%
52%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.5
21.7
18.8
10
83%
7
0
0
0
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
5-6
2-3
83%
46%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.6
16.9
16.1
7
52%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.4
33.2
29.6
9
53%
6
2
1
1
0
0
1
5
1-1
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
50%
0-3
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.8
25.7
23.6
6
60%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
2-3
67%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.1
15.3
24.0
0
0%
1
1
1
1
1
2
0
1
0-2
0%
0-2
2-5
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
13.8
7.3
4
50%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.2
8.9
25.2
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.3
2.3
7.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.2
2.3
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.3
14.2
0
1-2
49%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.8
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.