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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 8, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Warriors56%100101
28Wizards44%9897
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.8
38.8
35.4
23
77%
6
5
0
1
2
3
1
5
2-2
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
47%
5-9
56%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
35.5
39.5
22
61%
3
5
0
2
0
4
1
2
6-7
86%
5-7
5-10
71%
49%
2-8
25%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.6
35.1
37.8
24
61%
17
0
1
1
0
4
3
14
8-8
100%
8-16
8-15
50%
52%
0-0
-
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.5
23.9
26.4
3
19%
6
4
1
1
0
2
1
5
0-2
0%
0-5
3-6
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.1
13.1
13.8
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.1
29.7
26.7
5
42%
4
3
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
49%
1-1
100%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.2
25.3
22.3
12
70%
9
2
1
0
0
5
4
5
6-8
75%
3-5
4-7
60%
53%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.8
23.3
18.6
6
30%
8
1
0
1
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
3-8
1-3
38%
45%
0-2
0%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.8
15.3
6.1
6
38%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
1-2
38%
46%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.4
0.0
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.7
7.0
0
0-1
56%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.5
3.3
0
0-1
46%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.5
0.6
0
0-0
46%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.4
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.4
40.4
24.7
17
43%
6
6
2
1
1
1
1
5
4-6
67%
5-11
3-6
45%
43%
1-6
17%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.0
35.5
21.8
10
42%
4
1
1
1
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
3-9
2-4
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.0
24.9
28.3
9
38%
5
3
2
1
1
0
1
4
2-4
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
1-5
20%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.2
11.6
19.0
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.2
4.3
26.7
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.1
35.0
27.3
22
59%
7
8
2
1
0
1
1
6
2-4
50%
4-8
4-9
50%
46%
4-9
44%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.0
28.8
29.9
14
58%
5
0
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
7-12
7-13
58%
51%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.0
25.2
14.6
14
102%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
43%
2-3
67%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.2
20.1
20.7
9
40%
6
3
1
1
0
1
1
5
3-5
60%
3-9
4-7
33%
56%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 27.2
14.3
11.2
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.4
11.1
1
1-3
45%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.6
3.2
0
0-1
51%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 31.3
2.6
0
0-1
42%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.0
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.