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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 8, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Spurs77%105132
30Bobcats23%95102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.6
25.6
29.0
22
88%
2
9
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
9-11
6-12
82%
52%
1-1
100%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
24.1
16.1
23
115%
4
1
1
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
7-9
78%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.6
23.7
19.4
4
50%
5
4
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.6
23.6
25.4
11
56%
2
2
1
1
3
2
0
2
1-2
50%
5-9
6-11
56%
52%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.2
19.7
28.1
5
42%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.5
25.7
17.6
10
46%
8
6
0
1
1
3
2
6
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
2-6
33%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.7
20.3
15.5
9
46%
7
1
1
0
0
0
3
4
2-2
100%
2-6
1-1
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.4
18.6
22.4
11
79%
4
7
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
53%
3-5
60%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.9
16.4
21.1
10
63%
6
2
0
1
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
4-6
4-6
67%
60%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.3
15.6
12.8
13
65%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
49%
3-5
60%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.7
14.7
11.6
8
84%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.3
12.0
9.5
6
77%
3
2
0
0
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.6
17.9
1
3-6
53%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.4
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.3
33.5
26.1
4
42%
8
0
0
0
2
1
2
6
2-4
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.5
32.0
29.0
10
71%
2
1
0
1
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
5-6
2-5
83%
44%
0-1
0%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.6
31.1
29.5
23
60%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-3
67%
6-14
4-10
43%
42%
3-4
75%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.2
25.9
27.7
8
57%
5
6
0
1
3
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
46%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.9
9.0
12.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.0
25.6
23.0
13
55%
1
0
2
1
1
0
0
1
2-4
50%
4-9
4-8
44%
45%
1-1
100%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.7
23.8
21.1
12
44%
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
4-12
3-7
33%
43%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.8
14.3
21.5
7
52%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
0-0
2-5
-
44%
1-5
20%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.7
11.2
21.4
6
69%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.0
10.3
16.6
1
27%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.2
9.6
6.6
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
1-3
33%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 30.4
8.0
7.9
6
80%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 23.5
5.8
2.1
7
51%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
3-5
0-1
60%
38%
0-1
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.