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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 8, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1976ers34%9179
11Celtics66%9792
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.5
41.0
36.4
11
40%
5
8
0
1
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
3-9
6-12
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.1
40.2
37.9
13
41%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
5-13
6-13
38%
44%
1-3
33%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.5
34.6
35.9
22
62%
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
3
4-6
67%
9-15
6-13
60%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.9
28.3
32.8
8
51%
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
3-6
0%
46%
2-5
40%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.8
22.4
27.7
4
25%
9
2
1
1
0
1
4
5
0-0
-
2-8
3-7
25%
47%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.6
29.4
19.6
6
43%
8
1
0
0
2
0
2
6
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 27.0
19.8
14.5
4
40%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-2
0%
Maalik Wayns
G · 6'1" 195 · 21.6
10.3
6.3
7
61%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
2-3
1-2
67%
39%
0-1
0%
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.1
8.2
6.4
4
69%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.9
5.7
10.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.5
7.3
0
1-2
43%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.7
5.6
0
1-1
50%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 31.0
2.6
0
0-0
40%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.8
36.0
32.6
7
48%
9
11
3
2
0
4
2
7
1-3
33%
3-4
4-9
75%
50%
0-2
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.2
32.6
33.8
13
51%
3
9
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
5-9
5-10
56%
48%
0-2
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.6
31.9
24.0
10
63%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
5-8
3-7
63%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.2
27.8
36.0
9
46%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
3-5
25%
49%
2-5
40%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.6
23.4
28.7
19
83%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
9-11
6-11
82%
51%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
22.8
23.3
16
64%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
6-11
3-6
55%
48%
1-1
100%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.8
22.4
15.4
7
41%
9
0
0
0
0
0
3
6
1-1
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.2
20.6
21.8
3
50%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
18.2
13.7
8
80%
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
56%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.0
4.4
4.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.0
6.6
0
1-2
47%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.0
4.4
0
0-1
43%
Kris Joseph
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.