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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 8, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Knicks54%9785
8Bulls46%9593
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 28.5
37.7
33.6
27
40%
5
5
2
1
0
2
2
3
8-9
89%
8-27
4-10
30%
45%
1-3
33%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 30.2
36.7
30.8
14
59%
18
1
1
1
1
2
9
9
6-9
67%
4-8
4-6
50%
63%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 39.7
29.0
22.5
6
43%
4
2
1
1
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
41%
2-4
50%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.7
16.4
22.4
0
0%
2
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 40.2
16.2
9.1
6
75%
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
45%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.2
35.0
28.1
15
45%
2
1
0
1
2
5
1
1
5-6
83%
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
2-8
25%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 29.5
30.7
29.2
7
61%
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 38.2
15.7
12.5
6
50%
3
0
2
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
2-4
50%
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.1
12.4
7.7
4
67%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-0
-
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.6
10.3
13.0
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.5
23.8
1
4-9
47%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 28.7
4.0
0
1-1
46%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 38.7
2.2
0
0-0
43%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.1
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.6
46.6
40.9
22
51%
5
3
3
1
0
0
3
2
4-4
100%
9-19
5-12
47%
47%
0-1
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.7
45.0
30.7
22
69%
4
1
3
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
45%
4-6
67%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.8
44.3
41.0
10
57%
11
2
2
1
4
9
1
10
4-4
100%
3-7
6-11
43%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.1
21.9
32.8
12
51%
10
0
1
1
0
3
3
7
2-2
100%
5-11
7-14
45%
50%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.9
14.8
32.2
3
50%
3
3
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.5
29.9
14.9
14
42%
6
8
1
1
0
2
0
6
4-4
100%
2-11
2-4
18%
47%
2-4
50%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.2
21.4
17.8
8
103%
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
3-3
2-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.5
11.6
17.2
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 19.8
3.3
1.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.3
1.3
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.1
1.2
0
0-0
40%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.8
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.