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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 8, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Mavericks40%100116
13Rockets60%103109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.1
42.0
35.1
40
72%
8
3
2
1
0
2
1
7
4-4
100%
9-17
4-10
53%
45%
6-9
67%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 38.3
29.9
22.1
7
52%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
0-2
1-4
0%
40%
1-3
33%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.2
29.9
15.1
8
67%
6
3
0
0
2
1
2
4
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
58%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.9
20.7
13.5
8
51%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.6
18.6
22.8
20
72%
7
0
0
0
0
2
3
4
2-2
100%
9-13
5-10
69%
48%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.3
31.8
24.1
12
52%
4
5
2
1
0
2
0
4
6-6
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.9
21.8
23.9
12
50%
5
3
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
2-6
33%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.4
15.2
17.9
6
33%
3
1
2
1
0
0
2
1
1-5
20%
1-5
1-2
20%
47%
1-2
50%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.7
14.7
23.3
2
25%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
48%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
8.9
5.3
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 27.8
6.5
6.7
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.8
0.1
10.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.5
0.8
0
0-0
41%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.6
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.3
45.8
35.2
39
81%
6
9
2
1
1
6
0
6
15-16
94%
6-8
5-10
75%
51%
4-9
44%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.1
42.0
29.5
18
46%
10
5
2
1
0
1
2
8
5-6
83%
5-11
3-6
45%
51%
1-6
17%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.7
29.5
30.9
12
75%
4
2
0
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
6-7
5-10
86%
49%
0-1
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.4
20.0
25.6
6
42%
7
2
0
1
0
4
1
6
2-7
29%
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
18.1
26.4
7
72%
2
3
2
2
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
3-7
0%
47%
2-3
67%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.3
35.2
19.7
10
42%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
2-10
20%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.7
34.9
21.0
13
63%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
1-3
2-5
33%
42%
3-6
50%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.1
12.1
5.4
2
53%
3
1
1
0
2
3
0
3
0-2
0%
1-1
1-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.9
2.5
15.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
16.4
0
2-4
48%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.6
10.7
0
1-1
40%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 20.9
5.8
0
1-2
48%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.2
1.6
0
0-0
50%
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.7
Scott Machado
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.