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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 8, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Kings30%9899
18Trail Blazers70%10580
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.0
36.4
29.6
19
78%
3
11
2
1
0
0
1
2
4-5
80%
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
3-4
75%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.3
34.1
31.2
19
46%
12
2
1
1
0
0
2
10
7-8
88%
6-16
7-15
38%
45%
0-1
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.9
30.5
14.2
12
46%
5
2
1
1
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-8
1-2
38%
48%
2-5
40%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 27.9
30.3
23.8
14
70%
2
3
2
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
46%
2-4
50%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.4
29.1
29.1
12
49%
8
0
2
1
0
2
2
6
4-5
80%
4-10
4-8
40%
52%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.8
17.7
17.5
5
50%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
1-1
100%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.5
17.5
23.6
6
30%
2
0
4
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
0-3
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.2
17.3
4.0
11
79%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
0-1
67%
41%
1-1
100%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.5
13.8
16.8
0
0%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.7
7.6
16.5
1
17%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
5.5
7.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.2
16.8
1
3-6
48%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.8
16.6
0
2-4
44%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.4
38.9
37.4
12
45%
1
9
0
1
0
4
0
1
0-1
0%
3-8
4-9
38%
49%
2-5
40%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.4
33.0
36.0
17
49%
10
1
1
1
2
2
4
6
7-8
88%
5-14
8-16
36%
52%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.3
29.1
23.3
14
56%
15
0
1
1
1
0
2
13
0-1
0%
7-12
4-7
58%
51%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.2
29.0
36.2
14
59%
1
0
0
2
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
48%
2-3
67%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.0
17.1
33.9
5
43%
2
2
1
1
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
3-6
-
53%
1-5
20%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.5
27.0
11.7
9
46%
7
2
0
0
0
1
0
7
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
2-5
40%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.5
16.9
3.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.4
14.6
7.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 20.8
14.1
15.0
4
69%
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 25.8
9.5
10.8
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.1
7.2
3.6
3
75%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.0
3.6
6.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 21.9
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.5
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.