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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 9, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Bucks32%9597
12Nets68%10188
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.2
40.7
36.1
26
60%
6
7
5
2
0
2
2
4
6-6
100%
4-12
5-10
33%
44%
4-7
57%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.1
40.6
32.6
24
71%
2
5
3
1
0
6
0
2
8-9
89%
8-12
6-12
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.0
37.6
23.3
6
25%
6
1
1
1
4
3
2
4
0-0
-
3-12
3-6
25%
49%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.9
34.5
23.5
13
60%
7
1
0
1
0
2
0
7
2-2
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
12.3
22.7
3
61%
1
2
1
1
2
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.3
28.2
20.4
9
48%
5
0
2
1
0
2
1
4
5-10
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
25.6
22.1
10
59%
2
3
2
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
1-4
25%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.1
14.4
17.0
6
123%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
44%
1-1
100%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.2
6.0
3.8
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.6
12.6
0
2-3
50%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 21.9
8.3
0
1-3
48%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.2
8.2
0
1-3
44%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.4
6.3
0
1-2
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.4
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.4
40.6
34.1
16
55%
16
3
1
1
1
2
3
13
4-6
67%
6-9
3-6
67%
50%
0-3
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
37.8
38.2
18
45%
2
8
0
1
0
3
1
1
1-2
50%
7-12
4-9
58%
49%
1-7
14%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.4
29.7
37.2
6
34%
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
1-5
5-10
20%
49%
1-3
33%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.6
27.3
19.2
5
64%
9
1
4
1
0
5
4
5
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.3
21.5
28.9
11
57%
6
1
2
1
1
2
2
4
5-6
83%
3-7
6-12
43%
47%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
25.3
25.2
4
25%
7
1
0
1
2
3
1
6
0-0
-
2-8
3-7
25%
50%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.9
20.8
4.1
14
97%
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
5-5
100%
3-4
1-1
75%
48%
1-1
100%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.1
16.1
19.5
9
45%
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
43%
3-7
43%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.6
15.1
11.5
5
50%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
1-4
25%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 29.5
3.7
2.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
58%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.2
2.1
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.6
7.9
0
0-0
46%
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.7
0.8
0
0-0
48%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.7
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.