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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 12, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Nets53%9994
21Raptors47%9888
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.5
42.7
35.8
23
69%
2
4
0
1
0
3
0
2
5-6
83%
3-8
4-9
38%
48%
4-6
67%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
38.2
37.4
12
38%
2
4
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-10
4-9
30%
48%
2-6
33%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.6
33.6
26.1
9
95%
11
0
1
1
0
3
5
6
3-4
75%
3-3
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.3
33.1
26.6
14
50%
9
3
1
1
0
2
3
6
0-0
-
7-14
5-11
50%
46%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.4
25.3
38.2
9
46%
1
3
1
2
0
2
0
1
5-11
45%
2-5
3-7
40%
50%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.7
23.8
13.4
16
91%
6
3
2
1
0
0
0
6
4-4
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
40%
4-4
100%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
17.8
17.9
11
102%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
9-10
90%
1-1
2-5
100%
49%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.6
14.4
3.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-1
0%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.9
5.7
12.1
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.2
5.5
3.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 29.5
2.0
0
0-0
55%
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.2
1.7
0
0-0
52%
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.7
0.8
0
0-0
45%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.1
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
44.7
18.9
24
84%
12
1
3
0
0
1
3
9
2-3
67%
11-13
3-5
85%
54%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.3
43.8
38.6
11
42%
5
2
4
1
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
4-10
6-14
40%
48%
1-3
33%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.2
40.0
23.2
10
38%
3
15
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-8
2-3
25%
49%
2-5
40%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.8
27.8
25.5
5
28%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
0-5
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.6
26.1
24.2
15
91%
4
0
0
0
2
3
2
2
3-5
60%
6-6
3-6
100%
51%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 21.9
21.4
17.5
7
44%
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
1-3
33%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.1
19.3
7.6
9
40%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
1-3
33%
4-8
1-2
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.0
17.0
4.8
7
61%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
2-4
0-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.7
25.5
1
3-6
46%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.6
18.8
1
3-5
57%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.9
12.1
0
1-3
48%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.2
1.8
0
0-0
47%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.1
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.