Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Hawks	62%	99	86	94.5	91	88.2
	23	Magic	38%	95	80	90.9	88	90.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 27	41.5	13	43%	13	4	2	0	1	1	3	10	1-2	50%	6-14	43%	0-0	-
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 27	35.8	16	50%	11	3	1	5	3	0	2	9	4-6	67%	6-12	50%	0-2	0%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 25	32.1	16	67%	4	3	3	0	4	1	1	3	0-0	-	5-8	63%	2-4	50%
Devin Harris G · 6'3" 185 · 30	29.9	10	63%	4	3	1	1	1	2	0	4	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Anthony Morrow F · 6'5" 210 · 27	24.7	4	18%	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-5	0%

Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 26	34.0	11	55%	0	2	2	0	1	2	0	0	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 32	23.3	9	64%	2	0	1	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-5	60%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 29	18.7	7	58%	9	0	0	0	2	3	2	7	1-3	33%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Ivan Johnson F · 6'8" 255 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Johan Petro C · 7'0" 247 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
DeShawn Stevenson #92 · F-G · 6'5" 218 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	86	48%	43	16	11	6	14	0	8	35	10-16	63%	29-58	50%	6-22	27%

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8 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 27	41.5	13	43%	13	4	2	0	1	1	3	10	1-2	50%	6-14	43%	0-0	-
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 27	35.8	16	50%	11	3	1	5	3	0	2	9	4-6	67%	6-12	50%	0-2	0%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 25	32.1	16	67%	4	3	3	0	4	1	1	3	0-0	-	5-8	63%	2-4	50%
Devin Harris G · 6'3" 185 · 30	29.9	10	63%	4	3	1	1	1	2	0	4	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Anthony Morrow F · 6'5" 210 · 27	24.7	4	18%	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-5	0%

Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 26	34.0	11	55%	0	2	2	0	1	2	0	0	3-3	100%	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 32	23.3	9	64%	2	0	1	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-5	60%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 29	18.7	7	58%	9	0	0	0	2	3	2	7	1-3	33%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Ivan Johnson F · 6'8" 255 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Johan Petro C · 7'0" 247 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
DeShawn Stevenson #92 · F-G · 6'5" 218 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	86	48%	43	16	11	6	14	0	8	35	10-16	63%	29-58	50%	6-22	27%

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23 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 27	40.4	16	47%	3	4	0	0	3	1	0	3	1-1	100%	3-9	33%	3-7	43%
Glen Davis F · 6'9" 289 · 27	35.0	10	36%	7	0	4	1	2	2	1	6	6-6	100%	2-11	18%	0-0	-
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 31	31.5	12	67%	3	2	1	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-5	40%
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 22	19.2	8	57%	6	0	1	0	0	1	3	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 20	11.2	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%

JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28	34.3	13	46%	4	3	2	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-5	20%
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 23	25.9	8	40%	7	0	0	0	1	3	3	4	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	0-0	-
E'Twaun Moore F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24	22.4	11	79%	1	4	1	1	1	1	1	0	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Gustavo Ayon · 6'10" 250 · 28	13.0	0	0%	5	4	0	1	4	2	1	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
DeQuan Jones F · 6'8" 221 · 22	7.0	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kyle O'Quinn C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Al Harrington #3 · F · 6'9" 245 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Hedo Turkoglu #15 · F · 6'10" 220 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	80	46%	39	17	9	3	15	0	10	29	11-11	100%	24-59	41%	7-22	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	ORL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

0.97 48.3%

ORL

0.91 45.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

16

25

64%

ORL

13

32

41%

Midrange

ATL

13

33

39%

ORL

11

27

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

6

9.0

22

27%

41%

ORL

7

10.5

22

32%

48%

Free Throws

ATL

10

16

63%

ORL

11

100%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Smith	16	50%	8.0 / 16
J. Teague	16	67%	8.0 / 12
A. Horford	13	43%	6.5 / 15
L. Williams	11	55%	5.5 / 10
D. Harris	10	63%	5.0 / 8
K. Korver	9	64%	4.5 / 7
Z. Pachulia	7	58%	3.5 / 6
A. Morrow	4	18%	2.0 / 11

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Afflalo	16	47%	8.0 / 17
J. Redick	13	46%	6.5 / 14
J. Nelson	12	67%	6.0 / 9
E. Moore	11	79%	5.5 / 7
G. Davis	10	36%	5.0 / 14
N. Vučević	8	57%	4.0 / 7
A. Nicholson	8	40%	4.0 / 10
D. Jones	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Harkless	0	-	0.0 / 4
G. Ayon	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 104.6 26 102.0	ATL 94.5 +3.6 ORL 90.9
Pace	12 92.9 16 91.9	ATL 88.2 ORL 90.9 +2.7
Avg. Poss. Time	22 15.4 13 15.7	ATL 16.3 ORL 15.8 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 51.7% 20 48.5%	ATL 47.5% +4.9% ORL 42.6%
TO %	16 15.2% 13 15.2%	ATL 13.9% −1.8% ORL 15.7%
ORB %	26 22.2% 22 25.4%	ATL 21.6% ORL 22.2% +0.6%
FTrt	25 24.4 30 19.7	ATL 20.0 +6.4 ORL 13.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 65.1% 12 60.5%	ATL 45.7% ORL 54.8% +9.1%
STL %	12 8.7% 30 7.0%	ATL 12.1% +1.9% ORL 10.2%
BLK %	23 7.1% 24 7.0%	ATL 10.2% +5.0% ORL 5.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 53.2% 22 50.2%	ATL 48.3% +2.8% ORL 45.5%
Rim FG%	3 62.5% 12 58.5%	ATL 64.0% +23.4% ORL 40.6%
Mid FG%	21 38.3% 13 39.6%	ATL 39.4% ORL 40.7% +1.3%
3P %	7 37.1% 29 32.9%	ATL 27.3% ORL 31.8% +4.5%
FT %	26 71.5% 15 75.5%	ATL 62.5% ORL 100.0% +37.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 34.9% 19 35.4%	ATL 31.3% ORL 39.5% +8.3%
Mid Att. %	9 36.5% 20 42.3%	ATL 41.3% ORL 33.3% −7.9%
3P Att. %	4 28.6% 20 22.3%	ATL 27.5% +0.3% ORL 27.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	ORL
Possessions	91	88
Possession Minutes	24.8	23.2
Points	86	80
Rebounds	43	39
Assists	16	17
Steals	11	9
Blocks	6	3
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (4)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (2)	29 (7)
Field Goals	35-80	31-81
At-the-Rim FG	16-25	13-32
Midrange FG	13-33	11-27
2-Point FG	29-58	24-59
3-Point FG	6-22	7-22
Free Throws	10-16	11-11
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg