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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 12, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Warriors27%9897
4Heat73%10695
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.8
44.0
35.5
27
61%
7
4
2
1
1
3
0
7
0-0
-
6-8
3-7
75%
45%
5-14
36%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
41.8
36.7
9
45%
3
7
2
2
0
6
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
47%
1-3
33%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.6
38.4
35.1
22
56%
14
2
0
1
0
2
6
8
4-4
100%
9-18
7-14
50%
50%
0-0
-
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.5
17.6
23.9
8
41%
3
1
2
1
0
0
1
2
2-4
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
46%
0-1
0%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.1
14.9
13.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.1
31.4
28.4
20
71%
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
7-10
3-7
70%
47%
2-4
50%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.8
30.0
19.4
7
60%
7
2
2
1
0
0
0
7
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
1-2
50%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.2
18.4
24.5
4
42%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
0-3
4-7
0%
51%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.8
3.7
10.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.7
5.7
0
0-0
53%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.5
3.0
0
0-0
46%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.5
0.4
0
0-0
44%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.4
0.3
0
0-0
38%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.0
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.0
42.4
37.6
31
62%
3
5
1
2
0
4
1
2
5-5
100%
10-19
8-15
53%
56%
2-4
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.7
37.7
31.9
21
67%
13
1
1
1
2
2
3
10
2-4
50%
8-12
5-10
67%
52%
1-2
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.9
29.2
32.9
14
53%
4
5
3
1
0
5
0
4
4-5
80%
5-11
7-14
45%
52%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.6
23.9
21.8
8
50%
2
1
1
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
2-4
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.5
15.4
17.5
2
33%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.4
28.2
24.4
14
67%
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
50%
1-4
25%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.3
25.1
20.4
3
25%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
1-6
17%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.2
22.2
21.9
2
25%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
10.3
14.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.8
5.7
15.3
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.3
9.7
0
1-1
49%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.8
2.1
0
0-1
51%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.2
1.4
0
0-0
38%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.8
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.