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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 12, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Kings36%9785
18Bucks64%10198
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 33.0
36.4
30.7
16
55%
3
1
0
1
2
1
1
2
1-1
100%
6-9
2-5
67%
45%
1-5
20%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 27.9
35.1
26.3
10
41%
1
6
1
1
1
4
0
1
3-3
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
1-7
14%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.4
33.2
29.1
8
38%
15
1
2
1
1
2
5
10
0-1
0%
4-10
4-8
40%
51%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.9
22.3
24.2
3
26%
5
1
0
1
2
1
1
4
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.2
16.3
8.0
6
39%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
4-4
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
42%
0-1
0%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.7
24.7
12.5
8
40%
8
1
0
0
0
1
2
6
2-2
100%
3-9
2-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.2
22.9
11.3
17
49%
7
2
0
0
0
5
2
5
4-5
80%
5-14
2-4
36%
48%
1-1
100%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.8
14.8
9.8
9
53%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.5
14.2
14.6
2
50%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.8
10.9
16.7
6
51%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-1
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.8
9.2
9.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.3
32.4
1
7-16
45%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.5
20.3
1
2-5
48%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.2
41.9
37.4
19
44%
4
3
1
2
0
2
3
1
1-1
100%
6-13
5-11
46%
46%
2-8
25%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.1
41.2
35.1
17
45%
8
11
0
1
1
4
2
6
1-4
25%
5-13
6-13
38%
49%
2-4
50%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.9
31.4
27.4
10
38%
6
3
0
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
5-12
4-7
42%
50%
0-1
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.3
25.9
23.5
17
65%
6
1
1
1
0
0
2
4
5-7
71%
6-10
3-6
60%
50%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.6
22.8
8.5
5
66%
9
0
0
0
2
0
3
6
3-4
75%
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
23.8
23.5
16
67%
14
0
2
1
2
0
5
9
1-2
50%
6-10
3-6
60%
51%
1-1
100%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.2
22.5
6.8
7
51%
10
2
1
0
0
1
4
6
1-2
50%
3-6
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.1
15.5
15.7
0
0%
1
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
0-6
2-4
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.4
13.0
4.5
7
44%
2
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
2-2
100%
1-6
1-1
17%
53%
1-1
100%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.0
2.0
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.1
28.7
1
4-8
51%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.2
22.3
1
2-4
52%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.2
4.7
0
0-0
56%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.4
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.