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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 12, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Hornets13%8988
1Thunder87%10592
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.4
38.0
27.4
12
40%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-9
2-6
22%
39%
2-5
40%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.6
31.8
33.6
14
50%
7
5
1
1
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
47%
2-7
29%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.9
31.7
29.1
9
50%
4
5
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-8
60%
43%
1-4
25%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.2
21.5
20.8
8
59%
6
0
1
1
0
2
1
5
4-4
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.7
19.9
23.7
6
38%
8
1
0
0
4
0
4
4
0-0
-
3-8
4-7
38%
49%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.0
29.4
19.0
16
57%
1
4
2
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-8
2-6
25%
41%
4-6
67%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 19.8
28.1
16.3
11
52%
4
0
1
0
1
2
0
4
5-6
83%
3-8
3-6
38%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.8
16.2
16.9
4
50%
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.7
12.2
11.6
6
39%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
2-4
50%
2-6
1-3
33%
40%
0-0
-
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.7
11.1
15.3
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.3
17.7
0
1-2
40%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.6
10.9
0
1-2
43%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.2
43.9
39.2
35
67%
9
3
2
1
0
2
0
9
12-14
86%
10-16
7-13
63%
55%
1-4
25%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.1
36.6
34.9
14
40%
4
9
0
2
0
2
3
1
5-8
63%
3-13
6-13
23%
49%
1-1
100%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.6
24.0
28.9
2
20%
6
0
0
1
2
0
0
6
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
53%
0-3
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.1
23.8
26.2
6
60%
3
2
2
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
55%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.2
22.9
30.9
7
42%
6
0
0
1
3
1
3
3
1-3
33%
3-7
5-9
43%
58%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.9
30.8
27.7
17
60%
6
1
1
1
0
0
0
6
5-5
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
49%
2-5
40%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.1
26.4
18.6
6
60%
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
61%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.5
14.3
12.6
0
0%
0
4
3
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.7
11.0
2.2
5
83%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.8
6.4
14.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
58%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.5
2.9
0
0-1
48%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.7
1.5
0
0-0
52%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.4
1.1
0
0-0
56%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.