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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 13, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Lakers31%99107
3Knicks69%105116
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34.3
44.0
39.1
31
58%
10
6
1
1
1
5
2
8
6-6
100%
5-13
7-15
38%
47%
5-11
45%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.0
37.9
38.0
20
73%
7
1
0
1
1
2
3
4
4-6
67%
8-11
6-11
73%
57%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 33.1
33.3
31.7
23
64%
6
0
2
1
1
2
3
3
6-7
86%
4-9
2-4
44%
44%
3-6
50%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.3
29.1
31.4
3
25%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
1-5
20%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.5
21.5
24.9
3
50%
6
1
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
45%
1-3
33%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.1
33.9
7.5
15
55%
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
5-6
83%
5-8
1-2
63%
45%
0-3
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.3
28.4
22.5
12
47%
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
4-4
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
2-9
22%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.5
6.9
0.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.4
3.3
21.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.9
1.8
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.9
11.5
0
1-2
41%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 32.4
9.5
0
1-3
48%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.8
Darius Johnson-Odom
G · 6'2" 215 · 23.2
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 39.7
38.7
30.2
5
87%
9
5
2
2
0
1
0
9
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
41%
1-2
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 30.2
36.0
32.2
18
81%
4
2
2
1
1
1
3
1
8-14
57%
5-5
4-7
100%
64%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 28.5
36.0
31.4
19
35%
3
8
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
9-23
5-10
39%
45%
0-3
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.7
26.7
18.3
6
50%
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
48%
0-2
0%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.5
22.9
31.9
30
81%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
7-8
88%
7-10
6-13
70%
47%
3-5
60%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.3
26.3
31.2
18
60%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 29.5
25.6
24.1
12
120%
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
4-5
80%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 38.2
12.0
11.3
8
68%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-2
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
2-4
50%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 35.6
12.0
10.8
0
0%
3
1
2
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.1
3.8
6.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 40.2
7.3
0
1-1
47%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 38.7
2.0
0
0-0
43%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 28.7
1.9
0
0-1
49%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 22.5
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.