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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 13, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs73%10490
27Trail Blazers27%9698
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.6
37.1
33.2
21
58%
2
5
1
1
0
4
1
1
7-7
100%
7-15
7-13
47%
51%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.2
32.9
29.9
6
30%
6
2
0
1
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
49%
2-7
29%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.6
29.7
28.9
16
54%
6
1
2
1
2
3
2
4
4-4
100%
6-13
6-12
46%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
28.7
28.3
5
42%
3
2
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
1-4
25%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.6
10.0
14.0
2
100%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.4
30.4
26.5
12
62%
6
7
1
1
0
4
1
5
3-6
50%
3-4
2-5
75%
52%
1-3
33%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.9
28.9
19.1
12
52%
7
3
1
1
0
1
1
6
4-8
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
60%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.7
20.4
21.9
7
88%
3
2
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
54%
1-1
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.3
12.1
8.3
7
58%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
1-3
33%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.5
5.5
11.8
2
100%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.7
4.1
10.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.3
0.3
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.7
5.5
0
0-1
46%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.5
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.4
40.5
35.7
29
60%
7
6
0
1
0
2
0
7
5-5
100%
9-16
4-8
56%
45%
2-6
33%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24.0
38.1
26.2
11
46%
3
8
0
1
2
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
1-6
17%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.4
37.4
35.8
22
65%
6
0
3
1
2
5
1
5
2-2
100%
10-16
8-16
63%
49%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.3
27.4
24.2
12
68%
12
1
0
1
0
0
4
8
2-2
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
50%
0-0
-
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.3
12.4
14.5
0
0%
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.1
33.0
20.7
6
43%
4
2
4
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
45%
2-3
67%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.5
20.2
19.2
12
60%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
42%
2-7
29%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 20.8
16.9
13.2
2
33%
8
0
1
0
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.4
7.8
15.1
2
18%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-1
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
0-2
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 21.9
6.4
11.7
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.1
7.3
0
1-1
41%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.5
6.8
0
0-1
39%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 25.8
6.3
0
1-2
45%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.5
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.