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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 14, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Mavericks60%10074
29Raptors40%9795
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 38.3
33.0
25.3
8
40%
3
5
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
40%
0-3
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.6
29.3
30.1
12
68%
13
3
2
1
0
1
1
12
4-4
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
50%
0-1
0%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.1
28.6
36.5
10
47%
2
3
1
1
0
6
0
2
6-6
100%
2-4
4-10
50%
46%
0-4
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.6
26.7
20.2
15
40%
5
0
0
0
1
3
1
4
1-2
50%
7-18
4-9
39%
49%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 32.0
24.5
22.7
2
23%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.9
25.8
24.4
4
23%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
46%
0-2
0%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.3
22.3
28.4
4
41%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
3-7
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.8
15.2
18.5
2
100%
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
49%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.2
14.1
14.5
13
94%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
6-6
3-4
100%
59%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
8.4
4.3
4
52%
3
4
0
0
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
45%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.8
6.1
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 27.8
6.1
4.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.4
12.5
1
1-2
48%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.6
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
31.6
39.8
14
50%
4
4
0
1
1
2
0
4
1-2
50%
5-10
7-14
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.2
28.4
29.1
14
68%
4
3
1
1
2
1
1
3
2-3
67%
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
2-4
50%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.5
23.3
28.1
6
60%
8
3
1
1
0
0
3
5
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
54%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.9
17.2
26.1
7
42%
2
0
1
1
0
3
0
2
2-3
67%
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
1-5
20%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.6
16.2
24.6
1
11%
6
1
2
0
0
0
2
4
1-4
25%
0-3
3-6
0%
52%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.9
29.7
9.0
20
72%
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
5-11
45%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.6
24.7
13.0
4
52%
7
1
3
0
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
56%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.1
22.8
11.8
7
44%
1
6
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
42%
1-3
33%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 21.9
22.7
18.8
18
57%
5
2
1
1
0
1
4
1
4-4
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
47%
2-7
29%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.2
21.3
21.8
2
11%
5
2
1
0
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
0-5
2-4
0%
41%
0-3
0%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.2
2.2
1.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
46%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.0
9.4
0
1-2
52%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.7
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.1
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.