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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 14, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Lakers60%100102
27Wizards40%9796
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 34.3
43.6
40.6
30
43%
7
7
2
1
1
3
3
4
11-13
85%
8-21
8-16
38%
48%
1-8
13%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 33.1
39.2
32.2
13
53%
6
2
3
1
0
0
1
5
3-3
100%
5-5
2-5
100%
45%
0-6
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.0
32.2
37.4
12
52%
14
2
1
1
4
4
5
9
4-8
50%
4-8
6-11
50%
58%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.3
31.2
30.1
6
51%
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
43%
2-5
40%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.1
27.2
18.6
8
40%
5
0
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-9
2-4
44%
46%
0-1
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.3
30.4
24.7
24
81%
5
1
3
1
0
2
3
2
2-2
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
44%
4-7
57%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.5
15.8
3.3
4
100%
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.9
14.0
8.1
5
125%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
42%
1-1
100%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.5
6.4
23.3
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
46%
0-1
0%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 25.4
14.3
0
2-4
49%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 32.4
9.3
0
1-3
49%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.9
2.6
0
0-1
42%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.8
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.9
Darius Johnson-Odom
G · 6'2" 215 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 26.0
38.1
27.3
17
76%
4
2
0
1
0
3
0
4
5-5
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.1
36.0
35.6
11
32%
6
6
2
1
0
4
3
3
0-0
-
4-14
5-12
29%
46%
1-3
33%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.5
21.9
34.5
4
29%
4
1
1
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
43%
0-3
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.2
17.5
24.7
2
17%
5
2
0
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-6
4-7
17%
53%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.1
15.8
25.1
4
50%
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 23.0
36.8
20.7
16
55%
8
1
0
0
0
3
4
4
0-1
0%
8-14
5-9
57%
50%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.1
32.2
20.1
21
62%
8
1
2
1
1
1
0
8
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
5-11
45%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.3
22.3
20.6
17
83%
8
3
0
1
1
3
4
4
9-12
75%
4-4
4-7
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 27.3
19.4
14.1
4
40%
0
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.2
8.5
0
1-1
42%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.5
6.3
0
1-1
45%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.6
2.8
0
0-1
51%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 31.3
1.5
0
0-1
42%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.3
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.