Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Warriors	54%	100	85	91.4	93	103.1
	24	Magic	46%	99	99	106.5	93	84.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry G · 6'2" 185 · 25	42.9	25	54%	3	3	0	0	1	0	1	2	7-8	88%	6-14	43%	2-5	40%
David Lee F · 6'9" 245 · 30	41.3	24	57%	15	1	0	0	3	4	4	11	2-2	100%	11-20	55%	0-0	-
Klay Thompson G · 6'5" 220 · 23	33.0	9	35%	4	4	2	1	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	0-5	0%	3-8	38%
Harrison Barnes F · 6'7" 225 · 21	16.8	5	31%	2	2	0	1	0	0	1	1	1-1	100%	2-7	29%	0-1	0%
Festus Ezeli C · 6'11" 265 · 23	12.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	3	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Jarrett Jack G · 6'3" 200 · 29	35.6	12	55%	7	6	2	0	1	1	0	7	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-4	50%
Carl Landry F · 6'9" 248 · 29	23.4	6	38%	7	0	0	0	1	0	5	2	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Draymond Green F · 6'6" 230 · 23	13.8	0	0%	5	0	1	0	0	4	1	4	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Richard Jefferson F · 6'7" 233 · 32	13.4	2	50%	3	3	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Charles Jenkins G · 6'3" 215 · 24	5.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jeremy Tyler F · 6'10" 250 · 21	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Kent Bazemore G · 6'5" 201 · 23	1.1	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Andris Biedrins C · 7'0" 250 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Brandon Rush #4 · G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Andrew Bogut #12 · C · 7'0" 260 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	85	43%	49	19	5	2	12	0	16	33	10-11	91%	27-72	38%	7-20	35%

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17 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry G · 6'2" 185 · 25	42.9	25	54%	3	3	0	0	1	0	1	2	7-8	88%	6-14	43%	2-5	40%
David Lee F · 6'9" 245 · 30	41.3	24	57%	15	1	0	0	3	4	4	11	2-2	100%	11-20	55%	0-0	-
Klay Thompson G · 6'5" 220 · 23	33.0	9	35%	4	4	2	1	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	0-5	0%	3-8	38%
Harrison Barnes F · 6'7" 225 · 21	16.8	5	31%	2	2	0	1	0	0	1	1	1-1	100%	2-7	29%	0-1	0%
Festus Ezeli C · 6'11" 265 · 23	12.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	3	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Jarrett Jack G · 6'3" 200 · 29	35.6	12	55%	7	6	2	0	1	1	0	7	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-4	50%
Carl Landry F · 6'9" 248 · 29	23.4	6	38%	7	0	0	0	1	0	5	2	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Draymond Green F · 6'6" 230 · 23	13.8	0	0%	5	0	1	0	0	4	1	4	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Richard Jefferson F · 6'7" 233 · 32	13.4	2	50%	3	3	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Charles Jenkins G · 6'3" 215 · 24	5.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jeremy Tyler F · 6'10" 250 · 21	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Kent Bazemore G · 6'5" 201 · 23	1.1	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Andris Biedrins C · 7'0" 250 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Brandon Rush #4 · G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Andrew Bogut #12 · C · 7'0" 260 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	85	43%	49	19	5	2	12	0	16	33	10-11	91%	27-72	38%	7-20	35%

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24 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 27	34.7	14	54%	7	2	2	0	3	3	2	5	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	2-3	67%
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 22	33.9	12	60%	17	2	1	0	4	0	5	12	0-0	-	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 31	29.9	10	33%	3	11	1	0	1	2	0	3	2-3	67%	4-9	44%	0-5	0%
Glen Davis F · 6'9" 289 · 27	27.7	8	44%	2	0	1	1	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 20	23.6	7	39%	7	0	2	4	0	2	4	3	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%

JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28	26.9	16	67%	4	4	0	0	3	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	4-7	57%
E'Twaun Moore F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24	25.0	15	68%	0	5	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-5	60%
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 23	24.9	15	68%	9	0	0	4	1	3	2	7	3-4	75%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
DeQuan Jones F · 6'8" 221 · 22	6.2	0	0%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Gustavo Ayon · 6'10" 250 · 28	5.1	2	100%	2	1	0	2	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 24	1.1	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kyle O'Quinn C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Al Harrington #3 · F · 6'9" 245 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Hedo Turkoglu #15 · F · 6'10" 220 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	54%	53	26	8	11	15	0	13	40	8-11	73%	32-65	49%	9-21	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	ORL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

0.85 42.5%

ORL

1.08 53.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

14

28

50%

ORL

17

29

59%

Midrange

GSW

13

44

30%

ORL

15

36

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

7

10.5

20

35%

53%

ORL

9

13.5

21

43%

64%

Free Throws

GSW

10

11

91%

ORL

8

11

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	25	54%	12.5 / 23
D. Lee	24	57%	12.0 / 21
J. Jack	12	55%	6.0 / 11
K. Thompson	9	35%	4.5 / 13
C. Landry	6	38%	3.0 / 8
H. Barnes	5	31%	2.5 / 8
R. Jefferson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
K. Bazemore	2	50%	1.0 / 2
F. Ezeli	0	-	0.0 / 2
D. Green	0	-	0.0 / 4
C. Jenkins	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Tyler	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Redick	16	67%	8.0 / 12
E. Moore	15	68%	7.5 / 11
A. Nicholson	15	68%	7.5 / 11
A. Afflalo	14	54%	7.0 / 13
N. Vučević	12	60%	6.0 / 10
J. Nelson	10	33%	5.0 / 15
G. Davis	8	44%	4.0 / 9
M. Harkless	7	39%	3.5 / 9
G. Ayon	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 106.1 26 102.0	GSW 91.4 ORL 106.5 +15.1
Pace	4 94.8 16 91.9	GSW 103.1 +18.4 ORL 84.7
Avg. Poss. Time	28 14.7 13 15.7	GSW 14.0 −3.0 ORL 17.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 50.6% 20 48.5%	GSW 40.8% ORL 52.9% +12.1%
TO %	23 15.5% 13 15.2%	GSW 11.0% −3.2% ORL 14.2%
ORB %	21 25.4% 22 25.4%	GSW 28.6% +0.3% ORL 28.3%
FTrt	22 25.5 30 19.7	GSW 12.0 ORL 12.8 +0.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 58.9% 12 60.5%	GSW 55.9% ORL 63.4% +7.5%
STL %	27 7.3% 30 7.0%	GSW 5.4% ORL 8.6% +3.2%
BLK %	26 6.8% 24 7.0%	GSW 3.1% ORL 15.3% +12.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 53.2% 22 50.2%	GSW 42.5% ORL 53.8% +11.3%
Rim FG%	15 57.2% 12 58.5%	GSW 50.0% ORL 58.6% +8.6%
Mid FG%	6 40.7% 13 39.6%	GSW 29.5% ORL 41.7% +12.2%
3P %	1 40.3% 29 32.9%	GSW 35.0% ORL 42.9% +7.9%
FT %	4 79.0% 15 75.5%	GSW 90.9% +18.2% ORL 72.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29 31.2% 19 35.4%	GSW 30.4% ORL 33.7% +3.3%
Mid Att. %	26 44.9% 20 42.3%	GSW 47.8% ORL 41.9% −6.0%
3P Att. %	14 23.9% 20 22.3%	GSW 21.7% ORL 24.4% +2.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.

Game Totals	GSW	ORL
Possessions	93	93
Possession Minutes	21.6	26.4
Points	85	99
Rebounds	49	53
Assists	19	26
Steals	5	8
Blocks	2	11
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (2)	13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (1)	40 (0)
Field Goals	34-92	41-86
At-the-Rim FG	14-28	17-29
Midrange FG	13-44	15-36
2-Point FG	27-72	32-65
3-Point FG	7-20	9-21
Free Throws	10-11	8-11
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg