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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 14, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Warriors54%10085
24Magic46%9999
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.8
42.9
38.1
25
56%
3
3
0
2
0
1
1
2
7-8
88%
6-14
5-9
43%
48%
2-5
40%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.6
41.3
35.8
24
57%
15
1
0
1
0
3
4
11
2-2
100%
11-20
7-15
55%
51%
0-0
-
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.8
33.0
38.1
9
35%
4
4
2
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-5
4-8
0%
47%
3-8
38%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.5
16.8
21.3
5
30%
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1-1
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
47%
0-1
0%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.1
12.1
13.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.1
35.6
29.0
12
55%
7
6
2
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
3-7
4-7
43%
48%
2-4
50%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.2
23.4
21.8
6
38%
7
0
0
0
0
1
5
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
52%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.8
13.8
23.1
0
0%
5
0
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.5
13.4
3.0
2
50%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.8
5.5
7.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.5
1.1
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.5
1.1
0.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
50%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.7
4.1
0
0-0
55%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.4
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 28.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
34.7
37.0
14
54%
7
2
2
1
0
3
2
5
2-2
100%
3-9
5-10
33%
51%
2-3
67%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.1
33.9
23.7
12
60%
17
2
1
1
0
4
5
12
0-0
-
6-10
4-8
60%
48%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.8
29.9
30.9
10
33%
3
11
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
4-9
3-7
44%
47%
0-5
0%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 27.0
27.7
33.9
8
44%
2
0
1
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-9
6-14
44%
45%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.6
23.6
12.7
7
39%
7
0
2
0
4
0
4
3
1-2
50%
3-7
1-2
43%
49%
0-1
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.5
26.9
34.0
16
67%
4
4
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
4-7
57%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.8
25.0
19.6
15
68%
0
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
3-5
60%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.0
24.9
21.4
15
70%
9
0
0
1
4
1
2
7
3-4
75%
6-9
4-8
67%
50%
0-0
-
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.5
6.2
4.9
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.7
5.1
11.0
2
100%
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.4
1.1
3.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.7
1.1
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.8
5.0
0
0-1
52%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.8
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.