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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 14, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Timberwolves58%98113
25Hornets42%95102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.8
39.2
29.7
21
64%
11
2
1
1
1
1
2
9
1-1
100%
10-14
3-6
71%
52%
0-2
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.8
37.9
26.9
15
109%
3
10
4
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
49%
3-3
100%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.3
35.5
31.3
14
33%
9
3
0
1
0
1
3
6
5-7
71%
3-14
5-10
21%
48%
1-4
25%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 24.0
34.9
28.4
13
77%
2
8
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-1
0%
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
3-4
75%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.9
31.9
29.5
31
78%
5
1
1
1
0
2
4
1
3-4
75%
14-18
5-10
78%
53%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.5
22.8
24.5
12
50%
5
5
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
6-10
3-6
60%
47%
0-2
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
19.7
21.9
2
17%
3
0
0
1
0
1
3
0
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
51%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.6
8.4
11.4
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 32.6
7.2
10.9
3
52%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.2
2.4
10.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.6
14.0
1
1-2
46%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.0
1.8
0
0-0
45%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.1
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.6
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.9
42.8
29.5
15
54%
5
16
0
1
1
4
0
5
0-0
-
6-10
4-8
60%
45%
1-4
25%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.6
39.4
32.4
20
59%
7
1
2
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
4-6
4-7
67%
50%
4-11
36%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.4
37.5
30.4
27
86%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
4-4
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
41%
5-6
83%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.7
25.5
21.9
10
50%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
5-10
3-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.2
24.6
20.8
6
60%
8
1
1
1
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 19.8
28.3
20.7
11
76%
7
2
1
1
3
3
0
7
3-5
60%
4-5
4-8
80%
48%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 27.0
19.0
22.2
9
56%
1
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
43%
1-3
33%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.7
9.6
13.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.6
7.1
7.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.8
6.3
11.8
4
82%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
2-2
1-3
100%
42%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.8
16.5
0
3-6
48%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.3
12.1
0
1-1
42%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.