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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 14, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Celtics48%9989
13Rockets52%100101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.2
40.5
34.2
18
42%
7
3
3
1
0
1
0
7
6-8
75%
3-12
5-10
25%
47%
2-6
33%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.8
36.5
38.3
15
52%
4
13
4
2
1
7
1
3
3-3
100%
6-11
5-10
55%
50%
0-2
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.2
27.3
18.2
8
51%
3
0
2
1
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.6
27.0
29.7
14
54%
5
2
1
1
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
6-12
6-12
50%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.6
22.6
26.8
2
33%
4
1
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.2
25.7
35.1
12
60%
1
0
3
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
4-8
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
24.6
22.1
9
41%
7
0
2
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
3-9
3-7
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
14.9
13.7
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
56%
0-0
-
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.8
14.4
13.1
7
44%
6
1
0
0
1
0
4
2
1-2
50%
3-7
2-3
43%
48%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.0
6.5
3.2
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.1
6.6
0
1-2
47%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 34.0
3.2
0
0-0
43%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.5
Kris Joseph
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.3
38.4
31.2
21
51%
5
5
3
1
0
1
0
5
7-8
88%
4-10
4-9
40%
52%
2-7
29%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.1
37.4
33.7
15
78%
9
8
2
1
0
2
2
7
4-6
67%
4-4
4-7
100%
51%
1-3
33%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
27.1
28.9
5
42%
3
7
1
2
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.4
26.2
30.3
9
57%
10
0
0
1
2
1
2
8
1-2
50%
4-7
4-7
57%
50%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.8
25.4
28.0
9
56%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
4-9
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.7
24.5
25.2
11
58%
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
42%
2-3
67%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.3
22.6
22.2
9
75%
0
2
0
1
0
5
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
3-5
60%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.9
21.8
15.0
20
86%
6
0
0
0
3
2
2
4
4-6
67%
8-9
2-4
89%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
16.7
14.8
2
14%
7
0
0
0
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
0-4
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.6
5.0
0
0-1
40%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.1
3.7
0
0-1
51%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.2
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.7
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 20.9
Scott Machado
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.