Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Grizzlies	49%	97	94	103.3	91	88.0
	8	Nuggets	51%	98	99	110.0	90	93.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Marc Gasol C · 7'1" 255 · 28	36.6	10	38%	9	5	3	4	4	5	3	6	6-7	86%	2-9	22%	0-1	0%
Rudy Gay F · 6'8" 230 · 26	35.2	21	50%	4	4	0	0	2	5	3	1	1-1	100%	10-17	59%	0-4	0%
Mike Conley G · 6'1" 175 · 25	32.9	14	50%	3	4	1	1	5	1	3	0	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	2-5	40%
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 31	32.4	10	42%	5	1	0	2	1	3	3	2	0-0	-	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Tony Allen G · 6'4" 213 · 31	21.3	6	50%	3	1	3	0	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-

Quincy Pondexter F · 6'7" 230 · 25	24.2	8	67%	5	0	0	0	2	5	1	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Marreese Speights F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25	20.0	14	64%	4	0	0	1	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 25	18.5	11	79%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Jerryd Bayless G · 6'3" 200 · 24	17.0	0	0%	2	11	2	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-1	0%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 25	1.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Hamed Haddadi C · 7'2" 265 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh Selby G · 6'2" 183 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tony Wroten #1 · G · 6'6" 205 · 20	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	48%	37	27	9	8	16	0	16	21	9-10	90%	32-75	43%	7-19	37%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

6 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Marc Gasol C · 7'1" 255 · 28	36.6	10	38%	9	5	3	4	4	5	3	6	6-7	86%	2-9	22%	0-1	0%
Rudy Gay F · 6'8" 230 · 26	35.2	21	50%	4	4	0	0	2	5	3	1	1-1	100%	10-17	59%	0-4	0%
Mike Conley G · 6'1" 175 · 25	32.9	14	50%	3	4	1	1	5	1	3	0	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	2-5	40%
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 31	32.4	10	42%	5	1	0	2	1	3	3	2	0-0	-	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Tony Allen G · 6'4" 213 · 31	21.3	6	50%	3	1	3	0	1	3	1	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-

Quincy Pondexter F · 6'7" 230 · 25	24.2	8	67%	5	0	0	0	2	5	1	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-3	67%
Marreese Speights F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25	20.0	14	64%	4	0	0	1	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 25	18.5	11	79%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Jerryd Bayless G · 6'3" 200 · 24	17.0	0	0%	2	11	2	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-1	0%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 25	1.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Hamed Haddadi C · 7'2" 265 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh Selby G · 6'2" 183 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tony Wroten #1 · G · 6'6" 205 · 20	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	48%	37	27	9	8	16	0	16	21	9-10	90%	32-75	43%	7-19	37%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

8 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andre Iguodala G · 6'6" 215 · 29	37.7	20	77%	4	7	5	2	4	2	1	3	3-5	60%	7-9	78%	1-2	50%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 25	36.6	13	59%	0	5	1	0	4	1	0	0	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	1-2	50%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 24	35.8	14	54%	2	1	0	0	1	2	1	1	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	2-4	50%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 23	24.6	8	36%	10	0	1	0	1	1	3	7	2-2	100%	3-10	30%	0-0	-
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 24	23.1	6	60%	7	1	0	4	2	5	1	6	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-

Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 37	29.0	18	69%	2	4	0	0	2	3	0	2	6-6	100%	6-9	67%	0-1	0%
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 27	24.1	9	64%	4	2	0	0	1	3	0	4	3-3	100%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 25	23.9	9	64%	6	0	1	4	3	0	1	5	1-2	50%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 26	5.4	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Anthony Randolph · 6'10" 225 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Quincy Miller F · 6'9" 210 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Evan Fournier G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Wilson Chandler #21 · F · 6'9" 225 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Julyan Stone #10 · G · 6'6" 200 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	59%	35	20	8	10	19	0	7	28	23-26	88%	32-59	54%	4-10	40%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	DEN

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

0.95 47.5%

DEN

1.18 58.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

13

34

38%

DEN

24

38

63%

Midrange

MEM

19

41

46%

DEN

8

21

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

7

10.5

19

37%

55%

DEN

4

6.0

10

40%

60%

Free Throws

MEM

9

10

90%

DEN

23

26

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Gay	21	50%	10.5 / 21
M. Conley	14	50%	7.0 / 14
M. Speights	14	64%	7.0 / 11
W. Ellington	11	79%	5.5 / 7
M. Gasol	10	38%	5.0 / 13
Z. Randolph	10	42%	5.0 / 12
Q. Pondexter	8	67%	4.0 / 6
T. Allen	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Bayless	0	-	0.0 / 5
D. Arthur	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Iguodala	20	77%	10.0 / 13
A. Miller	18	69%	9.0 / 13
D. Gallinari	14	54%	7.0 / 13
T. Lawson	13	59%	6.5 / 11
C. Brewer	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. McGee	9	64%	4.5 / 7
K. Faried	8	36%	4.0 / 11
K. Koufos	6	60%	3.0 / 5
T. Mozgov	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 105.0 5 110.6	MEM 103.3 DEN 110.0 +6.7
Pace	29 88.5 2 95.0	MEM 88.0 DEN 93.2 +5.2
Avg. Poss. Time	2 16.7 29 14.6	MEM 16.4 DEN 15.5 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	28 47.2% 7 51.5%	MEM 45.2% DEN 55.1% +9.9%
TO %	10 14.8% 18 15.3%	MEM 14.0% −5.9% DEN 19.9%
ORB %	3 31.0% 1 31.4%	MEM 36.4% +11.4% DEN 25.0%
FTrt	17 26.1 5 30.8	MEM 10.6 DEN 37.7 +27.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	23 57.9% 15 60.0%	MEM 69.2% +13.6% DEN 55.6%
STL %	3 9.6% 2 9.7%	MEM 9.9% +1.0% DEN 8.9%
BLK %	10 9.0% 2 10.4%	MEM 13.6% +0.3% DEN 13.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 49.8% 7 53.5%	MEM 47.5% DEN 58.9% +11.4%
Rim FG%	28 53.9% 6 60.5%	MEM 38.2% DEN 63.2% +25.0%
Mid FG%	12 40.0% 30 35.7%	MEM 46.3% +8.2% DEN 38.1%
3P %	24 34.5% 25 34.3%	MEM 36.8% DEN 40.0% +3.2%
FT %	9 77.3% 28 70.1%	MEM 90.0% +1.5% DEN 88.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 38.0% 1 50.1%	MEM 36.2% DEN 55.1% +18.9%
Mid Att. %	28 45.4% 2 28.2%	MEM 43.6% DEN 30.4% −13.2%
3P Att. %	30 16.6% 22 21.7%	MEM 20.2% +5.7% DEN 14.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.3 and 3.3.

Game Totals	MEM	DEN
Possessions	91	90
Possession Minutes	24.8	23.2
Points	94	99
Rebounds	37	35
Assists	27	20
Steals	9	8
Blocks	8	10
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	19 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (8)	7 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	21 (3)	28 (3)
Field Goals	39-94	36-69
At-the-Rim FG	13-34	24-38
Midrange FG	19-41	8-21
2-Point FG	32-75	32-59
3-Point FG	7-19	4-10
Free Throws	9-10	23-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg