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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 15, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Clippers65%100111
18Bucks35%9585
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 23.8
27.5
33.7
18
63%
11
1
2
1
0
0
3
8
4-5
80%
7-12
8-15
58%
54%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.6
26.4
30.6
10
48%
3
13
2
2
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
51%
1-1
100%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.4
25.5
24.3
15
64%
11
2
0
1
0
1
3
8
1-4
25%
7-10
4-6
70%
61%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 32.8
22.2
21.0
8
40%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
45%
0-1
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.4
21.6
14.8
7
44%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
49%
1-3
33%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.8
28.5
23.7
21
83%
3
4
2
1
1
2
0
3
5-6
83%
8-8
2-4
100%
54%
0-2
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 32.7
26.5
30.6
6
47%
2
5
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
1-4
4-8
25%
45%
1-2
50%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 33.1
22.5
22.1
10
100%
5
1
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
2-2
100%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.0
18.7
18.7
8
68%
1
5
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
51%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.9
16.9
12.9
4
50%
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
58%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.2
3.6
2.2
4
45%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
2-4
0-0
50%
55%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 36.2
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.5
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 40.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.9
36.1
27.8
16
58%
5
2
2
1
1
1
2
3
2-2
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
47%
2-4
50%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.1
31.5
37.6
13
38%
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
5-7
71%
4-11
6-14
36%
46%
0-3
0%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.2
30.6
39.8
9
32%
1
3
1
2
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
2-7
5-12
29%
44%
1-6
17%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.3
24.5
29.2
11
70%
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.1
16.9
23.3
4
52%
3
1
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.1
26.6
14.6
8
29%
3
3
1
0
0
3
1
2
2-6
33%
3-9
2-4
33%
42%
0-2
0%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.6
21.0
18.1
9
77%
5
1
0
0
1
0
3
2
1-2
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
44%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.6
20.0
24.1
8
58%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-2
3-7
0%
48%
2-4
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.2
12.8
12.2
5
42%
4
0
1
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
44%
1-1
100%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.0
12.7
3.2
2
20%
5
0
0
0
2
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-5
1-1
20%
47%
0-0
-
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.2
7.3
2.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.6
9.9
0
1-2
50%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.4
9.0
0
1-3
49%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.4
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.